has to say:
..."If George Bush ever took to the bottle again, he might confide that he wishes he had never got into war in Iraq. I too wish he hadn't, but that's not because he was wrong in going in. He was moved by a conviction that Saddam Hussein was productively engaged in manufacturing weapons of mass destruction, that he was in league with a terrorist movement that threatened the Middle East, and that America needed to demonstrate its willingness to use its own resources to fight against incipient threats to regional and national security.
Joe Lieberman agreed. He was hardly the only Democrat to back President Bush in 2003, but his special prominence -- he had, after all, been Al Gore's running mate in the campaign of 2000 -- attracted attention to his continued backing of Mr. Bush on foreign policy. The especially sibilant left set out to make the backing of President Bush an excommunicable offense. So that when a pleasant and wealthy young man in Greenwich, Conn., volunteered to head up the posse, he got the backing of the Democratic left. And when the showdown came, the ideological avengers won the day. Senator Lieberman was defeated in the Democratic primary.
This meant to the population at large that hard-bitten Democratic leftists were bidding for control of the party and had scored a huge victory in a critical exchange by defeating a three-term senator who once ran for vice president. The bigger they are ... the harder they fall. So there was much rejoicing in the Jacobin camp when Mr. Lieberman lost.
But of course almost immediately Senator Lieberman announced that he would run as an independent. This gave the dissenters in Connecticut -- Democratic, Republican, and independent -- an opportunity to vote against the execution of the prominent and effective incumbent, who has thought and acted in what he believed the national interest, never mind that the commander in chief was a Republican.
The features of the Democratic leadership are not yet set. The left is eager to assert itself as the true heir of the Democratic tradition, even as in 1948, under the leadership of Henry Wallace, the left attempted to take over the party of FDR and Harry Truman. It failed, and may fail again. But much depends on how much life there is in the opposition, and the first challenge is to vote to retain Joe Lieberman in office."
Join The Contest: Post your final entry here for the outcome of the election. The cut-off is 1300 EST, US. The closest to the outcome will win $100 American Express Certificate. An exact guess will win $250. In the event of a tie, two certificates will be awarded. In the event of more than a two way tie, the posts nearest to 1300 EST will be considered the winners. The winner can make a guest post.
The winning estimate will be the closest to the actual. You will lose one point for each seat that you are off. A perfect score will be "zero". For example if you guess the Democrats pick up 12 in the House and 4 in the Senate, and that happens, you have a perfect score of "zero". If you had guessed a Democratic pick up of 14 and it was actually 12, you have a score of "-2". Change your mind as often as you like till 1300 EST. I will tabulate from your latest. You will not have two guesses. Your latest is your only valid entry. Those of you with multiple personalities can only use one. You know who you are and Whit will confirm, we CAN tell who you are. Have fun.