COLLECTIVE MADNESS


“Soft despotism is a term coined by Alexis de Tocqueville describing the state into which a country overrun by "a network of small complicated rules" might degrade. Soft despotism is different from despotism (also called 'hard despotism') in the sense that it is not obvious to the people."

Monday, October 09, 2006

A Tanked Think About Oil Intrigue, Islam and the Next Century.

A Call for Your Ideas - How do you see history playing out over the next 6 days, 6 months or 60 years?


It is widely acknowledged that time is finite with a beginning and therefore logically an end but the history of mankind within finite time is a continuum of cause and effect begetting cause and effect. The search for root causes only leads the seeker farther and deeper into the rabbit’s warren of history where it is revealed that events occur with unending and often unforeseen consequences. Therefore, to understand the present, we must begin at the beginning and in the beginning….

As your eyes glaze over and your lids droop and your mind wanders, relax, keep reading, we’re going to assume that we all know world history particularly since the American and French Revolutions. We will assume that all readers are familiar with the fundamentalist Wahhabists in Arabia, the development of the steam engine, the rise and fall of colonial empires, the invention of the flying machine, the Great War, the rise of Communism, the fall of the Ottoman Empire, the Great depression, the Weimar Republic, the rise of the third Reich, the origins of the Muslim Brotherhood, World War Two, the creation of the United Nations, the decline of Western Christianity coincident with the rise of socialism and multiculturalism, the invention of the satellite, the 1979 Islamic Revolution, the fall of the Soviet Empire, the creation of the internet, and the resurgence of fundamentalist Islam and Islamic terror at the end turn of the 21st century. So, with the barest, most elementary knowledge of our modern history, and the premise that the pursuit of wealth and power are primary movers of mankind, let us vainly amuse ourselves with idle speculation as to what our future holds.

The steam engine, the airplane, the satellite and the internet have transformed Earth into a much smaller world and a much larger marketplace for mankind. In the 21st century, will the dispersed men of Babel come together in the bazaars and the boardrooms of the world? Will there be a new cold war pitting old enemies against each other? Will nonaligned nations take over the United Nations? Will the UN cease to exist? Will India and China forge new trade or security alliances? Will Africa descend into total chaos and anarchy or into the rigid chains of Islam? Will climate change and rising sea levels dislocate millions and with what consequences?

Let your imagination run wild. How do you see globalization, emerging energy markets, trade wars, cold wars, hot wars, the clash of civilizations and the next set of causes and effects? The pursuit of wealth and power have always been the essential motivators for mankind . Where is that pursuit leading us and as Donald Rumsfeld posed the question, “What are the known knowns, the known unknowns and the unknown unknowns? Don’t worry about submitting award winning essays, simple opinions and your informed questimates will do.

27 comments:

  1. 6 Days....North Korean nuke test revealed to be either a dud or a fake (no detonation of fissile material)...pressure on Bush to enter bilateral talks...trial balloon floated by Bush Administration on Sunday talk shows about partitioning Iraq.

    6 Weeks...Lame Duck Republican Congress crafts the 2007 Defense Budget with a record number of earmarks, including a moving underground sidewalk from the House basement to the page dormitory so the Representatives don't get too winded on their way over there.

    6 Months...Charles Rangel puts a draft bill up for consideration by the House. Faced with the flare-up of the Second Korean War, Afghanistan II, border skirmishes with Mexico, and dropping retention rates for soldiers on their fourth or even fifth deployments to Iraq, Bush signs the bill.

    6 Years...President Clinton promises free bone marrow transplants for thousands of cases of leukemia attributed to the shipping-container nuke that devastated lower Manhattan. She says it would be rash, perhaps even racist, to assume it was the Chinese just because it was a Hanjin container. The General-Secretary considers rebuilding United Nations headquarters in The Hague, since the Belgians have been paying the Dhimmi Tax to Caliph al-Sadr for years and have seen relatively few attacks.

    ReplyDelete
  2. If you are as bereft of ideas as I am about however many tomoorows there may be and what they'll be like here is a wonderful outline. Just pick a topic and go.

    The Future

    Now having provided that I will say that after I am gone, well, I just won't care what happens on Earth.

    ReplyDelete
  3. The links to "The Future" on Wiki are unbelieveable.

    And to think at one point in my life all I wanted was a red RadioFlyer.
    Then all I wanted was a girlfriend.
    Then all I wanted was all of my girlfriend.
    Then all I wanted was more.
    Then all I wanted was for Possumtater to quit dragging dead animals across the Persian rug.
    Now it's a Popular Mechanics magazine in the "library"

    ReplyDelete
  4. "So to paraphrase "You are either with us or a dumbshit!"
    And Ted Turner is a dumbshit.
    "

    ReplyDelete
  5. The future. Man will gain perfect knowledge and harmony with the universe. He will know this and not know this.
    In the near future the Stevie Ray Vaughn vs Eric Clapton greatest guitar player discussion will go on and on. Clapton will win.

    Cows will wear latex "wind pants" made by Dupont and Jeff Gordon's NASCAR auto will be powered by the flatulence gather by AI nano-gatherers.

    Humans teeth will all be perfect.
    Rap will be gone replaced by an outbreak of wine glass players.
    Ted Williams head will go on tour.
    Pete Rose will bet it won't.

    In the a liitle bit father future NAMBLA will take control of Congress making daily intercourse between the sixteen different national parties more connected.
    We will have a colony on the Moon.
    It will have a life size poster on the front door of Sigorney Weaver.

    Just a wee bit further in the future from the near future through the father than near future as asteriod will hit the Earth, killing all life.

    In the way out future a tiny solar powered communications device will allow Gomboulians to home in on Earth's two halves or have nots where they will discover a soiled blue dress and from the fabric reconstitute Bill Clinton essence but not Bill. All life on their planet Gombou will die once they return with "the vital bodily fluid"
    Then reruns of I Love Lucy will begin, again.

    ReplyDelete
  6. Great thread--habu, your writing soars.

    ReplyDelete
  7. hell, everybody's does--but habu is crazy.

    ReplyDelete
  8. I'm tell'in ya check out that link, it's great

    ReplyDelete
  9. I'm gonna paypal them Eskimos a double sawbuck, too, rufus. Love that story--

    ReplyDelete
  10. Second law of thermodynamics:

    WOW WEE

    I can remember talking about this on prom night with Suzette. Here's just a sample of the onversation:

    When no useful work is being extracted from the sub-system, it follows that


    with the exergy X reaching a minimum at equilibrium, when dX=0.

    If no chemical species can enter or leave the sub-system, then the term ∑ μiR Ni can be ignored. If furthermore the temperature of the sub-system is such that T is always equal to TR, then this gives:


    If the volume V is constrained to be constant, then


    where A is the thermodynamic potential called Helmholtz free energy, A=U-TS. Under constant volume conditions therefore, dA ≤ 0 if a process is to go forward; and dA=0 is the condition for equilibrium.

    Alternatively, if the sub-system pressure P is constrained to be equal to the external reservoir pressure PR, then


    where G is the Gibbs free energy, G=U-TS+PV. Therefore under constant pressure conditions dG ≤ 0 if a process is to go forwards; and dG=0 is the condition for equilibrium.

    then we did IT!!!!

    ReplyDelete
  11. Buddy,
    I'll match your double sawbuck and maybe throw in five or six Claxton Fruitcakes too!!

    ReplyDelete
  12. yeh--this thread is a saver--the writing and the links--too late in the day to do 'em justice. I lost the eve trying to find the lyrics to "Time Is" by the late 60s bay area folk/psychedelic band "It's a Beautiful Day". I thought the lyrics would make a good post on this topic. I couldn't find them, but did find some samples of their hit "White Bird"--and commenced to listening to the same clip thru the earphones, about 50 times, loud. Now it's late, the house is quiet, all the li'l heads are a-snooze, and it's 1969 and I'm a kid again. Nice.

    ReplyDelete
  13. For those into the nostalgia of the future, a completely new oxymoron I just invented there is always this way to get there.
    Tom Swift

    Tom Swift

    OR
    Jules Verne
    Jules My Man

    ReplyDelete
  14. Well, quig, at least we won't be walking around upside down.

    ReplyDelete
  15. quig,
    You an Aussie..good on ya mate.
    I've been to your country probably 60 times, all in the 1970's.
    Spent a month in the outback once with two Landrovers and two Yamaha 360 Enduro's..we had a blast..I am a member of the Todd River Yacht Club ..I put the T shirt away about 25 years ago to preserve it for my old age..guess I'd better break it out..where ya from in Australia?

    ReplyDelete
  16. tom swifties

    "Who stole my camera?" cried Tom, bellowing and howelling.

    ReplyDelete
  17. No suicide, it's an "unknown known".

    ReplyDelete
  18. In the very very near future my mattress and mate are gonna feel some thermodynamic pressure..nit all bless ya.

    ReplyDelete
  19. Bless ya back, habu--thanks for the laffs--

    ReplyDelete
  20. quig,
    ok got some thermodynamics accomplished..
    yes I was all over Pine Gap. I worked for the "Company"

    ReplyDelete
  21. Now I am sleepy...more later mates

    ReplyDelete
  22. Love that Oz flag, Quig--that star grouping is just plain beautiful. Also think the world of your Mr. Howard and Mr. Downer. Also love the Oz films, tho "Gallipoli" was a little hard to handle, not exactly an upbeat ending. I finally understood Anzac Day after I saw the film, and looked into the history.

    ReplyDelete
  23. hasta manana, y toda la salud, abundancia, amor, y tiempo para gozar los.

    (*zzzzzzzzzz*)

    ReplyDelete
  24. and, and, and the Aussies are the only country to fight with the United States in all her major engagements! Bravo Australia.

    ReplyDelete
  25. Stars in our Courses
    ( I posted this on BC and wanted it here also even though it is O/T)

    The idea of America as a melting pot is today rot. There is no melting into a homogeneous American who speaks a common language, learns and embraces our history and is proud to be an American,period.
    Yes, many of us WASP's do, but that is a product of being the first here to make this a workable "new" nation through intellect and revolution. It was Enlightenment philosophers, all white men who unfurled the long history of free man. If you are a Platonist and believe that all things exist only waiting to be uncovered then this unfurling is the sine qua_non of our Constitution. And there is little argument on that.
    Each wave of immigrants became Americans until the cultural revolution of the 1960's when hyphenated Americans became de rigueur in the salons of New York and San Fransisco.
    Government edicts of diversity forced corporate America to play or pay, so they played. Next went free speech and in came sensitivity training. America was no longer American but a huge host being feasted upon by hyphenated, unassimilated peoples, who had no intention of becoming American. Just gimme the benefits or we'll let the lawyers castrated the country from it's heritage.
    It's been about thirty five years of buncumbe trashing two hundred plus years of progress.
    In one generation we went from the "Greatest Generation" to the "Grotesque Generation".
    There does not appear to be any "leadership" worthy of mention in the same article with either of the Roosevelts,A.Lincoln,R. Reagan, G. Washington and other great presidents. We are forced to choose between men to whom honor is a foreign concept.
    Our financial leadership is even more bereft of ethics and honor even though Croesus would envy their riches. It is a sorry time with an abundance of wealth and a dirth of just about everything else that makes a person an American. The fault, dear people, lies not in our stars but in ourselves.

    ReplyDelete
  26. First post out by Teresita looks pretty pretty good to me.

    ReplyDelete
  27. Real nice post Whit. I hope there are more in the future.

    ReplyDelete