Somalia is already a failed state and failed states guarantee violence, terrorism, international criminality, mass migration, refugee movements, drug trafficking, and disease. Somalia has been decimated by civil war. With a population of approximately 10.5 million people, Somalia has a minimalist economy with no strategic resources, and a rudimentary industrial and commercial base. It is a country in name only. Somalia's strategic significance resides in its close proximity to Arabia and the real possibilty that it will become the beachhead for a new Islamic militancy in Africa, similar but far more dangerous than the revolutionary marxism of the sixties.
The US and European powers have an interest in stabilizing Somalia, primarily because its fragmentation provides the opportunity for militant Islam. The London Telegraph, ever vigilant, provides incite into the growing danger in Somalia.
Islam has tamed a lawless Somalia, but is it raising an African Taliban?
The Telegraph By Colin Freeman in Mogadishu
(Filed: 08/10/2006)
As a senior drill officer for Somalia's new Islamic army, Col Abukar Sheikh Mohamed is proud to have recruited some of the unholiest warriors ever to grace a parade ground.
Marching over the sandy strip in front of him are former members of Mogadishu's notorious warlord militias, the drug-crazed freelance killers, robbers and rapists who have brought anarchy to the capital for the past 16 years.
Now, the Islamic Courts Union (ICU), a new religious movement which drove out the warlords two months ago, is "rehabilitating" them to defend the land that they so spectacularly destroyed.
"Discipline is the first priority," said Col Abukar, as 50 pairs of flip-flopped feet slapped past him in unsteady goosesteps. "These men worked for the warlords – some were alcoholics, others chewed or smoked drugs all day. But, now we have taught them the Islamic religion, they cry about their past sins and obey only the word of God. They do not even smoke cigarettes.
Their murderous backgrounds aside, the ragtag army at the Hilwenye training camp outside Mogadishu does not look much of a fighting machine. Some are elderly, others in their teens, some have limps and several are minus hands or ears. Even one of their drill sergeants sports a bandage where his nose was blown off by a bullet.
But on their final marchpast over the parade ground, a chant goes up that has rung alarm bells, not just among Somalia's neighbours, but across the globe.
It is "Allah akhbar", or "God is great", the traditional religious call that has been adopted as a battle cry by Islamic warriors all over the Muslim world.
Thirteen years after the infamous "Black Hawk Down" incident, in which 18 American troops died at the hands of a Mogadishu mob, Somalia is once again the stuff of American nightmares - as a potential new home for fundamentalist Islam in Africa."...
There is no good news here, but it is what it is. The West has a very long road ahead of it.
The other day one of the Holy men of the Islamic Courts declared War on Ethiopia. Seems they have a few hundred men ready to fight to support the TFG.
ReplyDeleteSomalia: Mogadishu Radio Stations Predict War With Baidoa
The East African (Nairobi)
October 10, 2006
Posted to the web October 10, 2006
Abdulkadir Khalif, Special Correspondent
Nairobi
Radio stations in Mogadishu are are beating the war drums, predicting a clash between the Transitional Federal Government (TFG) and the Union of Islamic Courts (UIC).
Although the TFG is not considered much of a threat to the Islamists, fears that the Ethiopian army could step into the fray, giving the ensuing conflagration a regional dimension, cannot be discounted. Given the Ethiopian presence in Baidoa and the country's ties to President Abdullahi Yusuf, it is unlikely that Addis Ababa will allow the Islamists to run his fragile government out of town.
Since Somalia is a failed state, a Somali passport is a joke. Anyone who comes to a US port of entry with a Somali passport should be ordered to do an about-face and go back to where he came from.
ReplyDeleteThat way, they can breed militant Islam all they want to, but they can't come here to enroll in flight school.
This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.
ReplyDeleteThis comment has been removed by a blog administrator.
ReplyDeleteThere you go rufus, it's Somalia, unworthy of concern, disrespected and unimportant.
ReplyDeleteJust like Afghanistan, before it.
Dateline 22 July
ReplyDeleteSomalis said Ethiopian soldiers had moved beyond the fragile government's provincial base in Baidoa, 150 miles northwest of the capital, to the towns of Buur Hakaba and Baledogle.
A spokesman for the Ethiopian government said that it had accepted a request from Somalia's government to come to its aid in case the Islamic militia attacked Baidoa but that it had not yet sent troops across the border. The Somali government said people were confused because its forces were wearing uniforms given to them by Ethiopia.
U.S. Assistant Secretary of State for African Affairs Jendayi Frazer cautioned Ethiopia on Friday against becoming embroiled in Somalia, although she could not confirm reports that Ethiopian troops had entered the country.
time to boycott all food, medicine, technology for Somalia.
ReplyDeletelet's let nature take it's course.
Let Darwin rule.
by the way, same goes for the fake people palestinians..
ReplyDeleteno AID, no medicine, no food, no technology, no water.
If they want to be a cult of death...
let them have death.
Somalia, history of.
ReplyDeleteIt's the "Horn of Africa", jutting out into the sea-lanes. Also borders Kenya, a western success story. Relationships succinctly put here.
Not so fast Rufus We cannot afford to be dismissive of AQ anywhere. Africa, under the influence of the Islamists can be a real problem for the US. You may find this interesting ...."The African continent - vast, remote, and perhaps strategically unimportant in the minds of many unknowing Americans – is one of the most critical fronts in the global war on terror. And it is for a variety of reasons beyond humanitarian concerns.Many of Africa’s countries are poorly governed and weakly defended. They are wracked with disease, famine, and brutal armed conflicts that frequently cross borders. Much of our vital natural resources come from what many still refer to as “The Dark Continent.” And terrorist networks like al Qaeda are keenly aware of – and capitalizing on – Africa’s vulnerabilities and the West’s increasing dependence on the continent’s resources.
ReplyDeleteConsequently, to ignore and ultimately lose Africa in the global war on terror would be nothing less than catastrophic, says Dr. J. Peter Pham, an expert on Africa who served as a diplomatic mediator in the West African conflict involving Liberia, Sierra Leone, Guinea, and Cote d’Ivoire back in 2001 and 2002. He has since returned to Africa on other official and research tours, and has frequently testified before Congress on the dangers, worldwide, posed by militant Islamism in Africa. ..."Town Hall
That was why, back in the day, it was the GLOBAL War on Terror. Because the Mohammedan terrorists comprise a GLOBAL threat.
ReplyDeleteAt least according to what Mr bush said, in '02, back before it became the "Long War", and prior to it becoming the limited TWAT it's turned out to be.
Yep, cannot fight the Japs and the Germans, too.
ReplyDeleteCede another outpost to Russian arms dealers and Mohammedan Courts. All those places are far away and do not count, Somalia, Georgia, Warizistan.
We are doing nothing in Pakistan that requires more troops. Perhaps someday, but it's not in the cards now, or we'd have supplied the 2,500 troops NATO needed, since we belong, too.
There are to many US troops in Iraq, 10,000 less would make no difference. We took the combat force out of Anbar easily enough.
Seems that Anbar is still there, also. As would Baghdad.
We are either in a War with Islamic Nazis, or we are not.
It is either Global or not.
We are a paper tiger, or not.
We prove each day that we are or not.
In Warizistan, Somalia, Sudan, Iran, Syria & Lebanon we give evidence to both the Will and Resolve of US's TWAT
El Salvador was turned with 54 uniformed troops and some civilian staffers.
ReplyDeleteNo need for US Divisions
Just the need for the Will to Act.
Good night Rufus, wherever you are.
ReplyDelete"No need for US Divisions
ReplyDeleteJust the need for the Will to Act"
---
The all powerful Mahdi Army once numbered in the low double digits.
Some at BC begged we take them out, but the more enlightened there explained it was part of a bigger plan.
(If we were only sophisticated enough to realize it.)
Cooler heads prevailed.
Then it numbered around 200, and we shouted take them out.
But the more enlightened carried the day at BC and on the ground.
During the Battle of Fallujah, Jihadis Brazenly marched in the streets of Mosul, RPGs at the ready.
I asked over and over, and over again why we did not exercise some Apache or Spectre Aerial action on them.
The wiser heads maintained their silence so as not to dignify such a stupid question.
And once again, cooler heads prevailed there and on the ground in Iraq.
Ditto for Wahrisiztan, Syria, and Iran, and
the rest, as they say, is history.
---
And now the wiser ones still see a larger plan at work even with the aid of 20 20 hindsight showing in blinding clarity, their brilliant heads stuffed deeply up their asses.
The will to act. That's the key.
ReplyDeleteMy guess is that dRat is also correct in that there are too many US troops in Iraq. My feeling is that the force could have been reduced to 10,000 or less, as soon as Saddam Hussein and his ministers were captured.
I've been struck by a bolt of lightning!
ReplyDeleteListen to Cedarford and the TV critics and do the opposite. From my experience, that would usually be the best course of action.
ReplyDeleteMany thought those US troops, in Iraq, were poised to jump off, into Iranian oil fields.
ReplyDeleteWe argued whether Syria or Iran was the "best" tactical target.
Because in the Global War on Terror, both had to fall. Before Victory could be achieved.
On to Damascus! was the keyboard's battle cry! Momenteum was behind US when the M1's were told to stop.
As in Gulf War I, the US hit the air brakes, then fell short of the landing zone. Leaving the Enemy intact and embolden.
The Iranian Cascades and the 34 days of Lebanon are proof positive of that.
It's a question of timing. I think we're almost there.
ReplyDeleteIf these elections go wrong, we're done in the ME as far as anything other than "Peace with Honor", the slogan of the Paris Peace Talks preparatory to the great helicopter skeedaddle out of Saigon. Losing Congress in the 06 midterms was the unknown unknown, and it for a fact makes a lot of OIF things that weren't yet wrong, now wrong, as there will be no more time to "pull" the other side of America into the next front.
ReplyDeletePretty bleak outlook. America is the critical front, always has been, and looks like the historians are gonna lose it to the Parishiltonites. Too bad, too, too bad.
Mr Bush's window closes in March '07, but does not open for another month, until after the election. It is highly unlikely though that he will go through that window.
ReplyDeleteIt's then or never for premption. After that, no expanded War, not without provocation, real provocation. Which I doubt the Mullahs will provide. It is sure Doc Assad will not.
North Korea presents a good opportunity to move forward. People understand what UN diplomacy means. And the implications are not in Iran's favor.
ReplyDeletebuddy, even if the elections go "right", they've gone wrong.
ReplyDeleteMomentuem is almost as good as content, in the struggle to be King. The Dems will have both, even if they remain in the minority of both House & Senate. They are in a "no lose" position. Much like HB was, but better. The Republicans will scorch no Dem infrastructure in the battle. The Repubs, at best, are falling back. At worst, they'll be in full rout.
There is no strategic vison on the Republican side. Mr Rove is a grand tactician, not a great strategist.
If Bush's window closes in March '07, then that's when Israel will take matters to its own hand wrt Iran and Syria.
ReplyDeleteI think the guy is thinking--against his own will--about that rocking chair on the front porch down Crawford way. Can't blame him, after the shit splattered all over him for six years. This place doesn't want a president, it wants an MC. Bob Barker maybe.
ReplyDeleteI agree that Korea will or can provide the template. It's just that I do not see much happening, not anything that will change the game.
ReplyDeleteThe Chinese and the SouKs desire "stability" more than they are concerned about the threat of NorK nukes. The artillery tubes are a greater real threat to Seoul then the nuke. The SouKs are used to living "under the gun".
dRat,
ReplyDeleteI wouldn't draw any hard military conclusions from the last Lebanon operation. But the political situation is clear. There's a quiet revolution in Lebanon, and Hizbollah is not on the winning side.
Mat, that's the one thing USA can still do, strategically--keep Israel's back when she takes care of the problem. But beware the Dean wing, if they have sway--even *that* may be on the wane.
ReplyDeleteMat, re your 1:39, there's something happening in Israel, too--looks like the Gov't is getting the Foley treatment--clearing the decks for the Hard Men, maybe?
ReplyDeleteBuddy,
ReplyDeleteAfter Qana that was the message to Israel. But after Pyongyang fiasco, there wont be a force on Earth that will stop Israel from the mission.
check out one of the latest posts at BC.
ReplyDeleteIt's a long cut and paste piece about how NorK has just been testing the Iranian system. First counter battery missles and now deliverable warheads that will fit the Iranian scuds.
The US designed and built a similar fission warhead in 1954.
Sixty year old technology
More warheads per pound of plutonium, if the bombs are much smaller. The Patriot and other missile defense systems will be swarmed, not by a single warhead or a mirv system. But by Davy Crockett warheads on hundreds of scuds, dozens of warheads. And more than a few truck bombs, perhaps.
asymetrical nuclear war
It's hard to read, Buddy. The politics too fluid. Not sure about clearing decks, but there's talk of Lieberman joining in, as you probably know.
ReplyDeleteMy point about HB, is that even though they took a lickin' they kept on tickin'.
ReplyDeleteFor the Dems, victory in '06, would not even be a question, even if they gained but 5 Senate seats and 14 House Districts. The spin would stop with the Dems winning, the Congress Republican, but dysfunctional.
The Dems the key men to consensous
Iranians were in great attendance at NoKo's latest missile tests. The idea rat just posted has the ring of truth to it. I have the feeling it's not Tel Aviv, either, but Jerusalem. No more Jerusalem--perfect Nazi gotterdammerung symbolism.
ReplyDeleteThe Dems the key men to consensous
ReplyDeletebecause their politics is the non-violent analog to asymetrical warfare.
The media is their army. Use tactical nukes.
ReplyDeleteWhen you're shameless, and your constituency is brainless, you are immune to retaliatory response.
ReplyDeleteBuddy,
ReplyDeleteWe're a step behind. Google beat us to it.
met 1:30...roger that
ReplyDeleteAh, damn, the virtual real-estate market--
ReplyDeletemet 12:58, where were you when DR and I were taking flak at BC for same?
ReplyDelete2164, your pic is an optical delusion--a hopelite one way, an elephant upside down. cool.
ReplyDelete2164, you will admit, won't you, that until the politics collapses, the Pentagon has the best operational info?
ReplyDeletewell buddy if they take out Jerusalem it will be onward Christian soldiers. Islam will be smoted and smoked in a Biblical fashion.
ReplyDeleteUntil the voter trips over the electric cord, and unplugs the building--?
ReplyDeletebuddy u r first to notice. good eye
ReplyDeleteI sure hope you're right, 2164--about the Christian soldiers. I personally am scared to death of these alien beings with the horse faces.
ReplyDeleteThank the Lord for Ohio
ReplyDelete...hope we haven't worn out His patience--
ReplyDeleteI'm going to log out. I'll give him your regards. Keep the faith, pass the ammunition.
ReplyDelete2164th,
ReplyDeleteWhen you're cruising high on a B2 Spirit, flak don't matter. :)
yeh, me too--1:30 a.m.--cripes--nite all--
ReplyDeleteha--screw dat flak--
ReplyDelete2:30 here. 'nite.
ReplyDelete