“Soft despotism is a term coined by Alexis de Tocqueville describing the state into which a country overrun by "a network of small complicated rules" might degrade. Soft despotism is different from despotism (also called 'hard despotism') in the sense that it is not obvious to the people."

Saturday, July 12, 2008

The Obama Illusion is Coming Apart

It must be that people are beginning to get it. It certainly is not the result of brilliant campaigning by my guy. For example, on July 16 Senator McCain will address the NAACP at its national convention in Cincinnati, Ohio. Why? What is the point?

Does McCain want to be President? McCain needs to take Obama down. He needs to get on and stay on offense. He needs to whittle away at voters who can be detached from what should be a very weak candidate.

McCain needs to show he is tough , competent and that America needs him.

He also needs to expose Obama for what he is. The NAACP is not that place. Obama could admit to having had helped OJ and he would still not lose one black vote.

Glow Fading?

The latest NEWSWEEK Poll shows Barack Obama leading John McCain by only 3 points. What a difference a few weeks can make.

Jae C. Hong / AP

By Jonathan Darman | Newsweek Web Exclusive
Jul 11, 2008

A month after emerging victorious from the bruising Democratic nominating contest, some of Barack Obama's glow may be fading. In the latest NEWSWEEK Poll, the Illinois senator leads Republican nominee John McCain by just 3 percentage points, 44 percent to 41 percent. The statistical dead heat is a marked change from last month's NEWSWEEK Poll, where Obama led McCain by 15 points, 51 percent to 36 percent.

Obama's rapid drop comes at a strategically challenging moment for the Democratic candidate. Having vanquished Hillary Clinton in early June, Obama quickly went about repositioning himself for a general-election audience--an unpleasant task for any nominee emerging from the pander-heavy primary contests and particularly for a candidate who'd slogged through a vigorous primary challenge in most every contest from January until June. Obama's reversal on FISA legislation, his support of faith-based initiatives and his decision to opt out of the campaign public-financing system left him open to charges he was a flip-flopper. In the new poll, 53 percent of voters (and 50 percent of former Hillary Clinton supporters) believe that Obama has changed his position on key issues in order to gain political advantage.

More seriously, some Obama supporters worry that the spectacle of their candidate eagerly embracing his old rival, Hillary Clinton, and traveling the country courting big donors at lavish fund-raisers, may have done lasting damage to his image as an arbiter of a new kind of politics. This is a major concern since Obama's outsider credentials, have, in the past, played a large part in his appeal to moderate, swing voters. In the new poll, McCain leads Obama among independents 41 percent to 34 percent, with 25 percent favoring neither candidate. In June's NEWSWEEK Poll, Obama bested McCain among independent voters, 48 percent to 36 percent.

Obama's overall decline from the last NEWSWEEK Poll, published June 20, is hard to explain. Many critics questioned whether the Democrat's advantage over McCain was actually as great as the poll suggested, even though a survey taken during a similar time frame by the Los Angeles Times and Bloomberg showed a similarly large margin. Princeton Survey Research Associates, which conducted the poll for NEWSWEEK, says some of the discrepancy between the two most recent polls may be explained by sampling error.

At the time of the last poll, pundits also noted that a large lead in the polls doesn't always guarantee a general-election victory. Many warned that Democrat Michael Dukakis led George H.W. Bush by as much as 16 points in some 1988 polls and then went on to lose that year's presidential contest.

But perhaps most puzzling is how McCain could have gained traction in the past month. To date, direct engagement with Obama has not seemed to favor the GOP nominee. McCain has announced major initiatives on energy and the economy but failed to dominate the conversation on those issues. Last week's shake-up of the campaign's senior management did little to halt calls from Republicans for a major overhaul in McCain's message. Nor did it quell the lingering suspicion among Republicans that 2008 is simply destined to be a Democratic year. (Only 28 percent of voters in the new NEWSWEEK Poll approve of the job George W. Bush is doing as president.) McCain's biography still appears to be his greatest asset, with 55 percent of voters saying they have a favorable opinion of the Arizona senator, compared to 32 percent who have an unfavorable opinion. (Obama's favorable/unfavorable gap is virtually identical at 56 to 32.)


  1. I don't know...maybe McCain should just sit back and let Obama self-destruct. Maybe it's better right now to not go after Obama, just sit back and watch the drama unfold. Obama's problem is that he is relatively inexperienced and the more he says, the more it shows. As long as Obama obliges with the self-mutilation, McCain should avoid interjecting himself in the Democrats internecine battles.

    I'm hoping that while McCain seems to be taking a break, he is also "studying up" in preparation for the post convention contest.

  2. Obama's worst enemy is himself...

    time to keep the powder dry....

    if it's 40 left and 40 right in this country with 20 in the middle, the 20 in the middle do not become bobblehead and mostly make up their minds in the last 4 weeks...

  3. It looks like Hawaiian officials are stone walling the release of Obama's birth certificate.

    Here’s another blogger giving a thumbs down with pics to obama’s birth certificate. The guy says he is a board certified forensic computer investigator. He says his background includes a lot of work on counterfeit documents.

    Here is a google search of the obama birth certificate

    In her remarks on MSNBC Michelle Obama says of Barak. "His own mother, she said at the beginning of her remarks, was "very young and very single when she had him." "

    Its reasonable to conclude that the Obama campaign would be hesitant to release his birth certificate because it would show that he was born illegitamate. Perhaps no biggie.

  4. "For example, on July 16 Senator McCain will address the NAACP at its national convention in Cincinnati, Ohio. Why? What is the point?"

    Absent pandering and compromising yourself, I think that making your case to as many people as you can, is a good thing. This is particularly true when you're dealing with a group or person who's never, if ever heard your arguments without a dozen hostile filters distorting them to a caricature.

  5. Aren't going to create miracles, but you've got little to lose and potentially much to gain when the opposition's getting 90% percent of it already.

  6. Jesse Jackson's remarks about wanting to cut off baraks nuts came because of baraks speech that exhorted fathers to take part in their children's lives--especially black fathers.

    That speech may have come because of speculation on the internet about baraks birth certificate--which would show that his mom was single when she gave birth.

  7. Golly, fellas, there is still a chance ...

    Al Gore on a white horse, riding from Denver to the White House, in November.

    While I wouldn't bet real money, I'd stake an Amero or two on the possibility.

  8. Good to have wi"o" on board the Board.
    Ms T is gone, again?

    Such is life.

  9. Maverick has never run in an election with a real opponent.

    Not sice his first Congressional run, for one of the safest GOP seats in the nation.

    This election will be all about Obama.
    Not his wife nor preacher.

    There is enough to go on, without those two. It's much better for Maverick if religion, wives and other associates are left out of the campaign mix.


  10. As well, Michelle's remarks about barak's mother being "very single" likely means that barak was born "barry denham" and his father wasn't on the birth certificate.

  11. dRat,

    Have a look here:

  12. But then you'd have to ask so what? Plenty of people are born illegitimate in the USA today. Why would the Obama campaign want to fudge on this one.

  13. I'm with you Charles. We've had a couple of false flares go up before on Obama, sputtering out, but this 'rumor' seems so easy to deal with if there is nothing to hide.

  14. And McCain's favorable/unfavorables are slightly ahead, too.

  15. Speaking of unusual campaign stops, Obama may go to NASCAR

    So far, no candidate has stopped right in my neck of the woods.

  16. Why can't rethuglicans beat up on Hussein Obama using issues like energy production and consumption reform, tax reform, transport infrastructure reform, education reform, political governance reform. Or are these not Republican values?

  17. This comment has been removed by the author.

  18. We don't seem to have a republican candidate, Mat :)

  19. All the corporate big money mafiosies are what, Commies? :)

  20. :) Well, we don't have a republican exactly representing the small farmers, I'll put it way. Here's a guy that thinks McCain's campaign, needs a shot of Viagra, like deuce says.

  21. Charles, here is a little more on the Obama Birth Certificate issue. I think I am beginning to smell some Democratic buyers remorse. It could be wishful thinking.

  22. All good Republicans, nay, all good citizens, should spend all their time sucking up to Hispanics, with daily double bj's to Illegal Hispanics.


  23. WalMart good.
    ADM bad.

    What's the logic here?

  24. All people born here in this town (at least, if not in the back seat of a car) make the paper in the birth column, just like the divorces filed, etc. and the police reports. Somebody needs to file a lawsuit.
    Small farmers are a dying breed Mat, that's a fact, and a sad one.

  25. Bob,

    You know about this more than I do. But in my experience, mega scale has always turned out to be bad thing.

  26. I don't know more about it than you.

    Some things you got to have mega scale on though, right. Like an efficient car factory, or Boeing. I'm for the small farmer(because I am one:) ) because too much concentration of wealth is a bad thing, seems to me. I'm not sure whether small farmers or big corporate farms are more efficient. Small doesn't have any labor costs. I've seen some bigger farms go under, and some small ones too. Probably a pretty good debate there, about which is more efficient.

    Generally, I'm with you, mega is bad.

    Today, I don't think you can find a small combine. I don't think anyone makes one. You can search the bone yards for an old 403 that might still function. Small tractors are around. These combines today cost a fortune.

    There used to be a company Love & Company, out of Spokane, that used to make some of the header devices for the combines. They went out some years ago, or got bought out. There was another company too, Hansen, they used to call him Haywire Hansen, who made the leveling devies for the hillside combines. Don't know who does that now either.

  27. Boeing's brilliant idea was to make the Dreamliner in littler factories from around the globe.
    Now they gotta problem:
    In the big house where they (try) to put the parts together, they don't fit!

  28. I listened to a program the other day about Boeing and Airbus. Boeing is better, up to now anyway. Airbus, they get rattly fast, like an old 1950's car, so they said.

    Still no big airplane crashes, Doug. Couple near mid air misses back east lately. Knock on wood.

  29. What do the Hawaiian papers say about this Obama birth certificate question?

  30. Bob,

    Whatever "efficiencies" you might might imagine moving to mega scale, you lose 10 times as much paying the price for mega corruption and mega subsidies to keep that unnatural superstructure going.

  31. Might as well see the light side to a serious subject--

    Iran Threatens to Photoshop Israel from Map

    by Scott Ott

    — Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said his nation’s missile tests this week are part of a previously-secret plan to “Photoshop Israel from the map.”

    Images of the missile tests showed apparently-real, as well as computer-generated duplicates of Shahab missiles, which Iran claims have a range of up to 1,250 miles — long enough to strike Israel — a claim which has since been questioned by Western arms experts.

    Mr. Ahmadinejad said that while it may take years to produce actual weapons that could strike “the Zionist state”, Iranian scientists and graphic artists have already demonstrated the ability, using Adobe® technology to “completely obliterate” Israel from the map.

    “We can do it at a moments notice,” he said, “Even now I have my finger on the button of a device that can make the borders and all the cities of Israel vanish in seconds.”

  32. The lousiest radio stations on the planet are in the US. Every city in the country plays the same shit, because there are probably less than ten companies controlling the entire commercial broadcast media.

  33. How T became a lesbo:

    - A Virginal Goth Girl -

    The heroine is "Bella," (sic) who gets sent off to finish high school in a really, really rainy part of the state of Washington. She catches the eye of a gorgeous boy in her biology class named Edward. He turns out to be a member of a commune of vampires, who have banded together to fight their inclination to drink human blood.

    Edward, who has never been attracted to a woman, mortal or immortal, in more than a century of postdeath existence, falls for Bella at first sniff. (It’s all about the smell.) And he is going to be faithful to her forever, even when she gets old and dies. But as much as he adores her, he won’t have sex with her because he worries he might kill her with his superstrength in the heat of the moment.

  34. Dairys and cattle are another that have gotten bigger. Used to be milk cows and a few cattle on every farm around here, few now. Big automated dairys and feedlots seem to have won the day.

  35. I always had that gut feeling about Airbus, ESP after the plastic tail fell off in the wind over Long Island!

    ...and the tanker won't take off on some of the shorter runways that the 767 will.

  36. It's about them arms of steel you mentioned on the milkers, al-Bob.
    Luckily, my neighbor had hands about twice as hefty as mine!
    Bout the nicest man I ever met.

  37. The airlines are dying. Who's going to pay for the supersized Airbus and Boeing aircraft projects except for the taxpayers?

  38. You want different, Deuce?
    Here's different!

    WRUW - 91.1 FM - Program Guide

    Streaming mp3 which you can download if you want to waste hard-drive space.

  39. All Spanish radio stations sound the same to me.

    That damn KGO is really geared up now. McCain is Hitler, Stalin. A bloodless old white ghost, back to wreck havoc on earth. But no news on Bernie Ward.

  40. Edward is a version of that legendary, seldom-seen male who won’t take advantage of his date even if she rips off her clothes and begs him to take her to bed. By the second novel, Bella was hounding him to turn her into a vampire so they could be together forever, but he was resisting on the grounds that it would be bad for her soul.

    Meanwhile, a second suitor for Bella surfaced, who also believed she was destined to be his one true love, even after he turned into a werewolf about halfway through the story.
    “It gives a whole new meaning to: ‘Just can’t meet a normal boy,’ ”

  41. Okay Doug I'm back to quit. Let's say we never met. Feel free to just pass me by.

  42. Give Bernie a KGO Mic behind bars!
    Free Bernie Radio KGO!

  43. There's a couple little Christian stations around here, and believe it or not, one that plays mostly classical music.

  44. How about you becoming a Vampire, and we try again?

  45. I'll take responsibility for any damage to your soul.

  46. Reporting to you from cellblock C-P (child porn) it's the Bernie Ward Show!

    featuring tonite--an in depth look at prison conditions, food etc., an interview with the cellmate of the month, and the latest poll of felons that can't vote.

  47. Gotta run. You folks be nice to one another, would you, for me?

  48. Tes,

    As you know, I strongly dislike fagoty homos. Stop being such a homo, and be a lesbian. Some fighting spirit please, ok?

  49. cf Tammy Bruce
    (she does get a little tiresome when she really goes on a rant, however)

  50. Deployed tail cone evacuation slide from incident airplane:

    Undeployed tail cone evacuation slide as installed on another aircraft:

    The following is an update on the National Transportation Safety Board's investigation of the incident involving the Midwest Airlines MD-81 airplane carrying Senator Barack Obama on July 7, 2008, in which the tail cone evacuation slide deployed in-flight.

    Preliminary findings reveal that the slide was partially inflated and the inflation bottle was empty. Examination of the hardware did not reveal any evidence of missing components, nor any evidence of tampering.

    The slide and hardware were removed from the aircraft for examination. There was no evidence of any punctures in the slide; however, there were marks consistent with rubbing of elevator control cables. Additional evidence was found to indicate that a catwalk railing was broken and impinged upon elevator control cables. The slide and hardware will be sent to the manufacturer for detailed examinations supervised by the NTSB.

    The flight recorders have been removed and are en route to NTSB headquarters for download and analysis. Flight crew statements indicate that the crew did not hear the slide deploy in flight nor did a mechanic who was seated in the rear of the airplane. The flight crew confirmed that they detected elevator control stiffness during the initial level off after departure from Chicago Midway Airport. Maintenance records have been secured for further examination.

    Research has been initiated into the certification of the slide, its service history, and its design interface with the airplane.

    The NTSB completed the on scene phase of the investigation yesterday.

  51. Mat,
    How about effete, elite, Metros like you know who?

  52. About the only "Male" thing I'm aware he can do is play roundball, and I haven't seen that, so wonder if it might not be of the whining variety.
    "That Ref acted just like a typical White Person."

  53. In fact, it's in his book!
    (the coach, not the ref)

  54. That'd be wonderful, mat, but for:

    Although the solar air conditioning system is still in the developmental stage, Dr. Bar and his staff hope to have a functioning prototype ready soon that will eventually be able to be mass produced and sold on the world market.

    I'd be more encouraged if the prototype was operational, but what the hey.

    On paper it be looking goooood!

    About a year ago I thought that Obama would turn into a disaster for the Dems, then he seemed to be teflon coated, we'll see what we will see.
    Election in 115 days.

  55. And now I have to check my email, more regularly, to see if we're blackballing nominees.

    Which I do not think I'd do that, but then again, it'd depend upon the nominee.

    Where's Maverick?

    Talk about your buyers remorse!

  56. But the most fascinating and encouraging news for the deniers is from Australian astrophysicists I.R.G. Wilson, B.D. Carter, and I.A. Waite. They have developed a theory that the sunspot cycle and its intensity is driven by the gravitational relationships between the Sun and the Jovian planets Jupiter and Saturn.

    The Sun wobbles a bit around the center of the Solar System. Sometimes the center of the Solar System lies outside the surface of the Sun, only 1,000 times heavier than Jupiter and 3,000 times heavier than Saturn. All that wobbling seems to affect the behavior of the Sun.

    Here is the nub of the paper, as explained by author Ian Wilson to Andrew Bolt.

    It supports the contention that the level of activity on the Sun will significantly diminish sometime in the next decade and remain low for about 20 - 30 years. On each occasion that the Sun has done this in the past the World's mean temperature has dropped by ~ 1 - 2 C.

    American Thinker Article


  57. Rat, Bush is starting to talk about brings some troops home a little faster, right on your timeline.

    And, the Prime Minister of Iraq is walking around town handing out big chunks of cash. Now there's a politician one could support, for a day or two.

  58. Thank you, Jesse
    Because of Jackson's crude comment, candy seller's site getting a lot more hits

    July 11, 2008

    The owner of "Obama's Chocolate Nuts" is feeling like "the luckiest person on Earth" in the wake of the Rev. Jesse Jackson's crude remarks about Sen. Barack Obama.

    "Who would have thought anybody would use 'Obama' and 'nuts' in an actual news story?'' said David Feingold, a 30-year-old San Diego resident.

    From chocolate makers L.A. Burdick are boxed chocolates honoring Republican presidential nominee John McCain, and Democratic presidential nominee Barack Obama.

    His site,, occupied the top spot on Google Thursday when Web users typed in "Obama" and "nuts." Feingold said traffic on his site more than tripled over the usual count.

    Feingold says he started selling packages of nuts, chocolate balls and T-shirts with Obama's name and likeness about a month and a half ago -- an idea sparked by his revulsion over sycophantic supporters of the Illinois senator and presumptive Democratic nominee.

    (The nuts connection is related to vulgar slang that Feingold defines as "liking someone too much.")

    Nothing against Obama, said Feingold, but "I think anytime somebody follows somebody blindly, it's not a good thing.''

    "Nobody knows anything about this guy; everybody claims they do," he said.

    Feingold says he's sold 650 bags of nuts and candy so far, led by the three-bag, $8.99 sampler pack. An equal opportunity offender, Feingold was peddling "McCain's dried papaya stick" --advertised on his racy Web site by a hungry girl in a bikini -- until the wholesale price got too high, he said.

    Keying on Jackson's threat to castrate Obama for "talking down to black people,'' Feingold is planning his next stunt: "We're going to send Jesse Jackson his 'Obama's Nuts' so he doesn't have to be violent about it."

  59. "I'd be more encouraged if the prototype was operational, but what the hey."


    These guys operate on a shoestring budget and less. Have a look at the company's web site. It's atrocious. But that doesn't mean they can't deliver. These guys are very smart people. What they need money. And right now the money goes to subsidize has been backward looking big oil and big military contractors. And I think it's down right criminal.

  60. It is worth mentioning that several of the most promising potential VP picks for Barack Obama have pulled themselves out of contention. This list includes Virginia Senator Jim Webb, former Virginia Governor Mark Warner and Ohio Governor Ted Strickland. These three men were arguably the three best VP picks for Obama. All of the top picks for McCain are still in the running. On this front, it is advantage McCain, if he takes advantage.

    How McCain Could Win

    Do these democratic VP picks see some writing on the wall, think the Obama illusion is coming apart? Interesting that they all seem to be swimming away from a possible ship wreck.


    Opinions are more strongly held about Obama than McCain--29% have a Very Favorable opinion of Obama while 27% have a Very Unfavorable view. For McCain, those numbers are 17% Very Favorable and 18% Very Unfavorable (see recent daily favorables). Among unaffiliated voters, 18% have a Very Favorable opinion of Obama and 16% say the same about McCain.

  62. "Sun - only 1,000 times heavier than Jupiter "
    That's hard to believe.

  63. Hey, good old al-Bob beat Drudge!

  64. I checked over at littlegreenfootballs and found as of 7/7 that they're not buying the forgery angle.

    So why wouldn't Hawaii release the original

  65. Maybe because they are the most Democratic State in the Union, with a long history of corruption and collusion?

    They being "we" in my case!

  66. Dissident’s Tale of Epic Escape From Iran’s Vise

    Free after years in Iranian prisons, a well-known dissident provides a rare window on Iran under its ruling clerics.
    Video: From Iran to the U.S.

  67. A little more and we'd have been a binary star system.

    And, I wouldn't be typing this to you.

    I've read Jupiter and Saturn do us a big favor, sucking up a lot of space junk headed our way. Remember when that stuff hit Jupiter some years ago--

    Jupiter Sucks It Up

  68. if we could just get them to suck up illegals...

  69. You mean you'd be giving me a call, instead?

  70. By Jove, the perijove was the end of it.

  71. Juno was the wife of Jupiter, but also his sister. Them Romans.

  72. Grossmont Union High School District Governing Board President Larry Urdahl still can't believe that four Helix High School teachers violated students' trust by allegedly engaging in inappropriate relationships with them....

    lucky little pricks.

    I would have killed to have sex with one of my teachers when I was in high school. Miss Williams was my inspiration along with my old man's stashed playboys. I knew where he kept his girlie mags and he knew where I kept my Lucky Strikes.

    Anyway I always figured sex with Miss Williams would have been a delight and never considered she would have been a crime. The only crime would have been if I really had a chance and took a pass.

  73. "Honey, I'm Home."

    Talk about jumping the shark. Check out Stoner, Ronnie Woods.

    A great educational video, bob.
    muy mucho gusto

  75. He's 61, she is certainly not.

    And sounds more like a drunk than a stoner, duece.

    Two bottles of vodka a day, figure we're talkin fifth's, no?

    That's no stoner, but a stone cold alki

  76. Why'd they cut off that video just before Saturn collided w/Jupiter?

    THAT's what I was waiting for!

  77. They wanted to keep it on the sunny side of the street, doug.

  78. I get it:
    They had to put the camera in a safe place so it wouldn't get hit.

  79. Proof of my brilliance:

    The first thing I did as I was waking up this morning was to push my new computer off it's stand onto the tile floor!

    ...good old Hp is still ticking after about a 1 foot fall.

  80. Man, that's going down the hard way. Two bottles of booze a day and an eighteen year old. He doesn't exactly look the picture of health.

  81. Keith Richards may live forever in spite of the abuse.
    Likewise that gal that was part of the Mommas and Poppas.
    She did it all, HEAVILY, and looks great at 60 something.
    Poor Tony just didn't get the luck of the draw.

  82. Hp thot it was goin down the hard way.
    Esp the sudden stop.

  83. ..Iran would "destroy" Israel as well as 32 US army bases in the region if the Islamic Republic is attacked, an aide to Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said Saturday..

    Does anyone in Iran really believe that an attack on US bases and/or shipping lanes will go unanswered. I don't think so.

  84. There were a couple guys in my high school--'Punky' C. and 'Spud' P., hung around together, always kept their Lucky Strikes rolled up in the left shirt sleeve of their T-Shirts, after school. Cool. Punky and Spud.

    Your Hp fell into the loving arms of the living tile, Doug.

  85. Ferdinand Carre had them Joos beat by 150yrs, Mat!
    Crosley IcyBall

  86. Don't worry, Mat:
    Nutjob's just talkin about takin out Israel w/photoshop.

  87. Are they still having the Death to Israel, Death to America rallies in Iran? The Little Satan and the Big Satan? Used to be kind of an annual affair didn't it?

  88. I think that within 30 days we will find out whether Iran agreed to dismantle its nuclear weapons program or not.

  89. I don't think any agreement reached right now would mean much. Unless McCain wins, then they might be held to something.

  90. By agreement I mean full admission and disclosure of weaponization, in front of the world. That's not going to happen. What will happen, is what I said will happen. The Mullahs will get their lump of nuclear charcoal, swallow, and that will be that.

  91. Hello! This is my first visit to your blog!
    We are a collection of volunteers and starting a new project in a community in the same
    niche. Your blog provided us beneficial information
    to work on. You have done a marvellous job!

    Also visit my web page; teichpumpen oase

  92. Keep this going please, great job!

    Stop by my page; gartenteich solarpumpe ()