“Soft despotism is a term coined by Alexis de Tocqueville describing the state into which a country overrun by "a network of small complicated rules" might degrade. Soft despotism is different from despotism (also called 'hard despotism') in the sense that it is not obvious to the people."

Sunday, August 24, 2008

McCain Should Now Choose a Woman to Win.

August 24, 2008
The Obama-Not Hillary Ticket
By Dick Morris Real Clear Politics

It doesn't take a political genius to realize that Barack Obama needed to nominate a woman for vice president. Obama's key
problem is that there is no gender gap. In the most recent Zogby poll, he runs only 2 points better among women than among men. A Democrat should be running 10 to 15 points better among women.

If Obama is to have a hope of winning, he needs to improve his performance among female voters. The Fox News poll indicates that only about half of those who backed Hillary Clinton in the primaries are voting for Obama and that fully one in five is now planning to back McCain. Attractive to women voters because of his maverick positions on issues and his willingness to defy the Republican orthodoxy, McCain is garnering votes from women who should be part of Obama's core constituency.

So why didn't Obama name a woman? He couldn't nominate Hillary because she came with such baggage that he'd be spending his entire campaign swatting away charges directed at the Clintons. It would be priceless to see Obama trying to justify Bill's refusal to publish the names of the donors to his library or to explain what Bill is doing in Dubai and Kazakhstan.

But what about Kansas Gov. Kathleen Sebelius? While not a national figure, she is attractive and articulate, and would have made a fine candidate. But Obama was terrified that the Clintons would wreck vengeance if he named a woman other than Hillary. But it was all a bluff.

Hillary's delegates would have celebrated the selection of a woman and would not have held it against Obama that it was someone other than Hillary. Hillary, for her part, would have had to grit her teeth and support Sebelius or risk alienating her core constituency. But Obama didn't dare do what he needed to do. He wimped out.

The fact that Barack Obama named Joe Biden as his vice presidential candidate will have relatively little impact on the strategic framework of the race. Biden was the best of the names on Obama's short list. His experience in foreign affairs, his tough advocacy of the Democratic agenda and his skill at handling himself will all help Obama's campaign, but not decisively. The other options were worse. Tim Kaine, governor of Virginia, had as little experience as Obama. Evan Bayh, senator from Indiana, is way too soft spoken and mild for a rough and tumble campaign.

But the most important thing is that Obama did not choose a woman. He needed one. With Hillary's evident availability for the nomination, his failure to name her or some other woman stands out starkly to women voters. It doesn't matter to them that he chose Biden over Bayh or Kaine. What matters is that he did not choose Hillary or another woman.

Now, John McCain can take advantage of Obama's blunder by coming back with a woman nominee for president. Texas Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison would be an excellent choice. She's been around for decades and is not going to start making mistakes now. Her nomination would be a signal to American women that McCain takes their aspirations seriously, even if Obama does not. Hutchison is not charismatic. But her circumstances would be if she were nominated. The prospect of a woman vice president would electrify women throughout the nation.

I have previously written about the advantages of Joe Lieberman for vice president. His nomination would send a signal of bipartisanship that would be notable and would hasten Democratic defections. But conservatives would be horrified by the choice of Lieberman. And Obama's failure to nominate a woman is such a glaring misstep that McCain should pounce and take advantage of it.

The ticket will nominally be Obama-Biden. But, to millions of American women it will be Obama and not Hillary.


  1. When challenged about his intelligence by a voter in Iowa in 1988, Mr Biden responded that "I have a much higher IQ than you do, I suspect," before saying that he had three degrees (he had one) and that he "ended up in the top half"of his Law School class (he was 76th out of 85), where he had been on a "full scholarship" (it was a half scholarship).

    - Telegraph

  2. Mr Biden has received large campaign contributions from lobbyists - a practice Mr Obama rejects - and one of his sons is a lobbyist. He also has a tendency to make slightly off-colour remarks about race and gender.
    On Saturday, he introduced his wife Jill by saying she was "drop dead gorgeous" but "she also has her doctorate degree, which is a problem..but all kidding aside".
    Mr Biden's Iraq record will also be scrutinised. He voted against the 1991 Gulf War but for the 2003 Iraq invasion. When voting in favour of funding troops in Iraq, he berated Mr Obama for opposing the measure.
    Just last week, Mr Biden blocked a proposed nuclear co-operation deal between the US and Russia.


  3. The ultimate ticket:


    Seriously, that's a sound idea (picking a woman) but I still think if he can steal Michigan away from Obama and eke out Ohio he can win it. I think it comes down to Ohio. Romney is the path to that outcome.

    Michigan - Obama +4.0
    Ohio - McCain +1.0

  4. In Nuclear Net’s Undoing, a Web of Shadowy Deals
    A C.I.A. deal with a family of Swiss engineers helped end Libya’s bomb program, reveal Iran’s atomic labors and undo Abdul Qadeer Khan’s nuclear black market, officials said.

  5. Political analyst Brian McGee says the vote is just a formal part of the convention because we already know Senators Barack Obama and Joe Biden are the ticket. The convention is really just a time for the party to show off their nominee.

    "They're trying to rally the faithful. Trying to get those true partisans to work very hard for the campaign.

    They're trying to sway voters who are out there looking at candidates from both of the major parties and so that is what the convention is designed to do, persuade voters," McGee said.

    Heading to Denver

  6. I nominate Sonia, and should she encounter birth certificate anomalies, I propose Ms Walsh as her replacement.

  7. 'Mr Biden has received large campaign contributions from lobbyists - a practice Mr Obama rejects -"

    My Ass!

  8. If we're going for a woman for VP, let's at least do it up right, and get a great looker--Palin for VP, not some old Texas has been with bad breath like Kay Bailey Hutchison.

  9. Sen. Biden's campaign says Hunter Biden didn't lobby his father. But Hunter's firm, Oldaker, Biden & Belair, led by William Oldaker, a former Biden campaign treasurer, and another firm that Hunter has worked for, the National Group, have sought congressional appropriations for a wide variety of clients, including colleges and universities in Delaware and Pennsylvania.

    Calls to Oldaker, Biden & Belair and to the National Group weren't returned.

    The Obama-Biden campaign spokesman, David Wade, said that Hunter Biden "has never lobbied Sen. Biden's office or committees, period."

    Unwanted Baggage

  10. Obama doesn't accept campaign contributions, Doug, just bank account contributions, or in lieu of money, real estate.

  11. Every leaf you turn over, you find something--

    Obama's Teenage Mentor Liked Sex With Kids

    Which brings Bernie Ward to mind. Ha! He won't get to vote in the election. Ha!

    Five days till Bernie gets formally sentenced.

  12. Recall that four years ago Biden was suggesting the best way to unite our divided land was to--put John McCain on the democratic ticket as vice-president.


  13. Peterike:

    Powerline has a number of good posts about Not-so-Joltin’ Joe Biden.

    My favorite bit is this clip from a New Republic profile of Biden in October 2001, conveying a meeting of Biden and staff shortly after 9/11.

    Biden launches into a stream-of-consciousness monologue about what his [Senate Foreign Relations] committee should be doing, before he finally admits the obvious: “I’m groping here.” Then he hits on an idea: America needs to show the Arab world that we’re not bent on its destruction. “Seems to me this would be a good time to send, no strings attached, a check for $200 million to Iran,” Biden declares. He surveys the table with raised eyebrows, a How do ya like that? look on his face.

    These may be the two biggest idiots ever to (dis)grace a major party ticket.

  14. from Bill Bryson's "The Mother Tongue"

    Perhaps for our last words on the subject of usage we should turn to the last words of the venerable French grammarian Dominique Bonhours, who proved on his death bed that a grammarian's work is never done when he turned to those loyally gathered around him and whispered, "I am about to--or I am going to--die; either expression is used.


  15. Italian priest organizes beauty contest for nuns

    We are not going to parade nuns in bathing suits," Rungi said by telephone from his town of Mondragone.
    "But being ugly is not a requirement for becoming a nun.
    External beauty is gift from God, and we mustn't hide it."

  16. Not so funny for Poor Bob Novak.
    He seems to think it would take a miracle.

  17. Don't do it, Rat, don't let Kennedy out of Martha's Vineyard. At least, not without extracting a hefty traveling fee. Make him pay for the privilege. After all, he's the guy that said, "I've never worked a day in my life."

  18. Doug: I nominate Sonia

    You're playing the nude card. I would love to see Sarah Palin on the ticket, but I'm a realist and I know we're going to get Joe Lieberman.

  19. On Saturday, he introduced his wife Jill by saying she was "drop dead gorgeous" but "she also has her doctorate degree, which is a problem..but all kidding aside".

    Drop dead maybe, gorgeous, no.

  20. Just last week, Mr Biden blocked a proposed nuclear co-operation deal between the US and Russia.

    Good for Biden. Russia's only source of hard currency should come from the energy slaves of Europe.

  21. I'll bet my entire EB reputation you're wrong about Lieberman.

  22. You got a reputashun?

  23. They're Paying Attention Now

    The Rick Warren debate mattered. Why? It took place at exactly the moment America was starting to pay attention. This is what it looked like by the end of the night: Mr. McCain, normal. Mr. Obama, not normal. You've seen this discussed elsewhere. Mr. McCain was direct and clear, Mr. Obama both more careful and more scattered. But on abortion in particular, Mr. McCain seemed old-time conservative, which is something we all understand, whether we like such a stance or not, and Mr. Obama seemed either radical or dodgy. He is "in favor . . . of limits" on late-term abortions, though some would consider those limits "inadequate." (In the past week much legal parsing on emanations of penumbras as to the viability of Roe v. Wade followed.)

    As I watched I thought: How about "Let the baby live"? Don't parse it. Just "Let the baby live."

    As to the question when human life begins, the answer to which is above Mr. Obama's pay grade, oh, let's go on a little tear. You know why they call it birth control? Because it's meant to stop a birth from happening nine months later. We know when life begins. Everyone who ever bought a pack of condoms knows when life begins.

    To put it another way, with conception something begins. What do you think it is? A car? A 1948 Buick?
    - Exclusive Obama's lost law review article -
    His article acknowledged a public interest in the health of the fetus, but also seemed to demonstrate his continuing commitment to abortion rights, and suggested that the government may have more important concerns than "ensuring that any particular fetus is born."

  24. T., to be fair, you got to give Mrs. Biden some kind of handicap for the age factor.

  25. Bobal: Be warned. The Goddess of Old Texas Has Beens with Halitosis is lookin' for your ass, and she ain't happy.

  26. 2019.10.15台北酒店上班就業服務處將於10月15日至18辦徵才酒店工作活動,為所有大學生、上班族想要酒店兼差求職的朋友提供20家知名便服店、禮服店、制服店,共釋出300個酒店打工機會。知名酒店經紀梁小尊/梁曉尊指出,知名台北八大行業為近幾年熱門的酒店小姐產業,在推廣[早脫貧]口號行動之外也與各大知名酒店經紀公司合作提供小姐配套性服務,釋出的酒店兼職職缺並非強迫性,增取更多人力人才,目前市場數據公司民調指出:是求職者普遍年輕群喜愛快速賺錢的方式。

  27. 2019.10.16台北市酒店上班八大行業即時新聞稿表示,依酒店工作的酒店小姐現場保護規則第3條第2項規定,酒店現場總人數在120位以上部分人員是學生身份,應設置從大學生不影響課業酒店兼差人員辦理達成5小時工時服務,提早下班可順利完成隔天白天學校課程,另外針對上班族酒店兼職保護規則明定,依照勞基法工時健康著想不讓酒店小姐因酒店打工過勞影響未來健康,知名酒店經紀梁小尊/梁曉尊應依不同年齡、族群、學生、單親、上班族等逐步設置從事酒店小姐健康服務護理人員,並辦理臨場健康服務單位。

  28. 2020.02.20知名酒店工作觀察家日本報導:

  29. 2020.03.04不管妳是什麼原因想要進入酒店工作,這個環境的確能讓妳快速的累積財富,相對的,也容易使人迷失! 在這裡大家都是過客,共同的目標就是致富!先回答妳的問題,到酒店上班別心急,要小心踏出妳的第一步,不要跟陌生人簽約,也不要繳保證金,那些都是這個行業沒有規定,有很多騙人的徵人廣告都會要不知情的應徵者簽約繳錢,這是首先要注意的,再來就是應徵地點要約在公共場所,千萬不要貿然的衝去應徵辦公室,別以為女生接電話就是安全的!在密閉空間內沒人可以保證妳的人身安全!。最佳場合見面..開放式公共場所 例如;麥當勞/星巴克之類的比較安全!。
    梁曉尊在教妳 怎麼確認經紀人是否有公信力也保護自己未來酒店打工的保障! Google搜尋:經紀人的名字,是否有相關事業…如果搜尋結果沒有!我建議妳再找找別人吧~。如果只搜尋經紀公司網站,也別輕易相信..因為不肖詐騙人士會藉由經紀公司網站欺騙無知女孩們。總而言之: 酒店兼差要懂得保護自己,酒店兼職才能安心賺錢。

  30. 2020.03.14 台北酒店上班即時新聞:Google搜尋:梁曉尊/梁小尊---常問兼差兼職酒店工作的時段時間? 酒店S薪資怎麼領?
    一般為一星期為一個結算薪水的單位,班別以(週報班)可以上3~5天班 當然天數越多 節數錢越多 酒店S收入也跟著水漲船高。
    尤其特別族群大學生/上班族選擇酒店打工,可依照白天課業或工作因素來配合晚間的班別! (1週上1天班 也可以的)
    營業時間下午3點~早上6點 這期間上滿6~7個鐘頭 看各家店規定不一 時段都可自選。
    下午:3點班、4點班、5點班、6點班 (每個班次往後推7小時,就是妳的上班時間)
    晚間:7點班、8點班、9點班 (每個班次往後推7小時,就是妳的上班時間)
    因公平性原則: 大學生/上班族選擇酒店兼職 酒店兼差 1週上1天班 超值特別專案

  31. 2020.04.12新型冠狀病毒病全國酒店工作都停業,讓酒店上班酒店小姐生計大受影響,為了求生存,不少酒店打工小姐乾脆另闢「戰場」,跟著客人一起到KTV或是複合式釣蝦場,一來檯費可以酒店上班照算,更不用被八大行業酒店經紀抽成。畢竟酒店生活常熬夜又不規律,這樣變相坐檯,醫師表示還是有風險。穿著蕾絲小外套手臂若隱若現,將近170公分的身高搭配一雙典雅跟鞋,他是酒店PT酒店小姐Angel,在業界走跳這麼久,還是第一次遇到酒店全面停業。酒店小姐Angel:「我們現在多半就是飯局或者是伴遊啊,那甚至是可能有當秘書或是一日助理啊,就比較趨向這一塊。」有的酒店小姐轉戰一般KTV或複合式釣蝦場,一樣照算坐檯費跟客人喊價 ,不用被酒店經紀抽成。雖然Angel年過30,但身材外貌保養得宜,會說話、擅交際,比起年輕女孩略勝一籌。酒店小姐Angel:「有一些比較年輕的妹妹,她或許對一些社會經驗或者是其他比較能聊的東西,沒辦法跟客人可以很聊得下去,很聊得來這樣,那我們比較可以留心。」畢竟八大行業工作飲酒,基本上不會戴口罩,社交距離也根本無法保持,接觸的客人太複雜更難自我保護。知名八大行業酒店經紀:「(酒店小姐)她們比較常常熬夜,對生活作息比較不規則,壓力有時候會比較大一點,這個感染以後這個病就會比較難以控制。」這回叫傳播或跑小吃店等於是變相坐檯,防不勝防。

  32. 2020.04.16掲開酒店大亨的溫柔鄉傳奇:
    新生代後起之秀一個剛出道的酒店工作酒店經紀梁曉尊如今成為全知名酒店經紀最大勢力。時間背景正於八大行業的戰國時代,群雄割據⋯人人都是幹部、人人都是經紀人,在這麼競爭的環境裡脫穎而出。再千百人之內披荊斬棘、越戰越勇,不斷的創造機會闖出自己的名堂不少資深前輩認為梁曉尊潛在未來有影響力的人物不容小覷。梁曉尊已「十八路令諸侯」集結16家中小型經紀公司全力投入支持某家酒店,當時以梁曉尊做為搖旗的領頭羊成為這間酒店駐點主要核心的酒店經紀,資深酒店前輩指出:該店的酒店PT酒店小姐人數梁曉尊就佔了三分之二,也幫助該店的業者達到最高峰,也因為如此梁曉尊打出漂亮的戰役,展現出各方面資源、才華、構想、以及強烈的企圖心對企業經營相當感興趣。2010年Google 搜尋:梁曉尊/梁小尊。獲得亞洲地區Google認證關鍵字達到全版面。不僅如此⋯八大行業主要關鍵字(酒店工作)、(酒店上班)、(酒店經紀)、(酒店打工)、(酒店應徵)、(酒店兼差)、(酒店兼職)每組關鍵字都在首頁榮獲前3名。

  33. 2020.05.12酒店、舞廳解禁酒店小姐的基本介紹跟工作內容開放有望!新冠肺炎台灣疫情緩和、穩定控制,中央流行疫情指揮中心昨日我在酒店上班的日子宣布,目前暫停營業的酒店、舞廳等酒店小姐一定有S?業者,在符合防疫安全條件下,八大行業可開放營業,且不受室內100人、室外500人人數限制。巧合的是,今日職場須知 【酒店PT 】剛好是酒店、舞廳停業滿月,指揮中心此話一出,相關酒店打工行業人士都很期待。記者實訪一名在北市中山區酒店工作的女公關軒軒,她表示若酒店真解禁,實質上生意一定會爆好,因為台商、業者都「忍很久了」。軒軒說,她所服務的地方為私人招待所,受酒店禁令也暫時歇業至今,這一個月來她都沒進店裡上班,與其他公關們大多轉戰KTV、卡拉OK或是飯局模式;而客層方面,多為熟客與幹部所介紹的友善客人,故在安危顧慮上較放心;但即便如此。收入仍大受影響,跟之前比少了六成,不過因她沒有家計負擔,故這段時間她也當做休息,更規畫了東部旅遊。而對疫情這段時間的感想?軒軒說,其實酒店業並不是四月時有酒店公關確診才受影響,而是台灣確診1月下旬有確診者後,2、3月生意就明顯下滑,因為「有錢人超怕死!」也擔心來消費後確診,很難對親友交代,故2月起收入就已下滑。軒軒也說,而酒店業是「連動」、最能反應「台灣經濟」的產業。經濟好時,來消費、甚至談生意的客人就多;而一蕭條,酒店、幹部、旗下小姐收入銳減,連樓下賣花、賣香腸、一整條賣衣物、精品的店家都受影響,是一層接一層環環相扣的。軒軒跟記者分享一個特別觀點,就是酒店停業這一個月時間,她的總收入雖大減,但是「客單」(顧客單筆消費)收入卻超高。她解釋,因為這段時間都轉戰如錢櫃KTV、卡拉OK等方式,客人消費、開酒遠比在酒店時便宜、小費也多外,收入部分因不用透過酒店營銷、幹部等關卡,少了中間抽成,故費用都是「實拿」,也算是這段時間的特別之處。