National Post
Monday, March 24, 2008
Perhaps the climate change models are wrong
Lorne Gunter, National Post Published: Monday, March 24, 2008
Bob Strong, Reuters
They drift along in the worlds' oceans at a depth of 2,000 metres -- more than a mile deep -- constantly monitoring the temperature, salinity, pressure and velocity of the upper oceans.
Then, about once every 10 days, a bladder on the outside of these buoys inflates and raises them slowly to the surface gathering data about each strata of seawater they pass through. After an upward journey of nearly six hours, the Argo monitors bob on the waves while an onboard transmitter sends their information to a satellite that in turn retransmits it to several land-based research computers where it may be accessed by anyone who wishes to see it.
These 3,000 yellow sentinels --about the size and shape of a large fence post -- free-float the world's oceans, season in and season out, surfacing between 30 and 40 times a year, disgorging their findings, then submerging again for another fact-finding voyage.
It's fascinating to watch their progress online. (The URLs are too complex to reproduce here, but Google "Argo Buoy Movement" or "Argo Float Animation," and you will be directed to the links.)
When they were first deployed in 2003, the Argos were hailed for their ability to collect information on ocean conditions more precisely, at more places and greater depths and in more conditions than ever before. No longer would scientists have to rely on measurements mostly at the surface from older scientific buoys or inconsistent shipboard monitors.
So why are some scientists now beginning to question the buoys' findings? Because in five years, the little blighters have failed to detect any global warming. They are not reinforcing the scientific orthodoxy of the day, namely that man is causing the planet to warm dangerously. They are not proving the predetermined conclusions of their human masters. Therefore they, and not their masters' hypotheses, must be wrong.
In fact, "there has been a very slight cooling," according to a U.S. National Public Radio (NPR) interview with Josh Willis at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory, a scientist who keeps close watch on the Argo findings.
Dr. Willis insisted the temperature drop was "not anything really significant." And I trust he's right. But can anyone imagine NASA or the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) or the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change -- the UN's climate experts -- shrugging off even a "very slight" warming.
A slight drop in the oceans' temperature over a period of five or six years probably is insignificant, just as a warming over such a short period would be. Yet if there had been a rise of any kind, even of the same slightness, rest assured this would be broadcast far and wide as yet another log on the global warming fire.
Just look how tenaciously some scientists are prepared to cling to the climate change dogma. "It may be that we are in a period of less rapid warming," Dr. Willis told NPR.
Yeah, you know, like when you put your car into reverse you are causing it to enter a period of less rapid forward motion. Or when I gain a few pounds I am in a period of less rapid weight loss.
The big problem with the Argo findings is that all the major climate computer models postulate that as much as 80-90% of global warming will result from the oceans warming rapidly then releasing their heat into the atmosphere.
But if the oceans aren't warming, then (please whisper) perhaps the models are wrong.
The supercomputer models also can't explain the interaction of clouds and climate. They have no idea whether clouds warm the world more by trapping heat in or cool it by reflecting heat back into space.
Modellers are also perplexed by the findings of NASA's eight weather satellites that take more than 300,000 temperature readings daily over the entire surface of the Earth, versus approximately 7,000 random readings from Earth stations.
In nearly 30 years of operation, the satellites have discovered a warming trend of just 0.14 C per decade, less than the models and well within the natural range of temperature variation.
I'm not saying for sure the models are wrong and the Argos and satellites are right, only that in a debate as critical as the one on climate, it would be nice to hear some alternatives to the alarmist theory.
lgunter@shaw.ca
________________
And a first class demagogue to boot! The left loves to accuse the right of playing the fear card in regard to Islamist terror. But no issue has been demagogued and manipulated like global warming and climate change. When it comes to fear mongering, the left are unparalelled.
Gosh, maybe the Kyoto Protocol is working. They are so much smarter than we are.
ReplyDeleteFuck you, Hyeana!
ReplyDelete---
"If you dig online for that Rumsfeld speech (and other, similar Islam-less speeches on the GWOT) you will find more than a few Mark Steyns who lauded it as a fitting reminder of 'why we fight' rather than simply another chance to observe that the most assiduously deferential folks were always the very ones in charge of the whole enchilada.
It was their most ardent supporters who were busy congratulating themselves for their 'true' (as opposed to the Left's 'phony') progressivism in 'liberating' countless of the bloody motherfuckers."
---
As the proprietor of a
"right wing blog"
you might keep in mind Trish's admonitions about us/them constructs/"thinking."
---
I'm growing a little tired of this constant bashing of my hero Algore, to the point to which the blog almost becomes Wretchardian in it's studied avoidance of the FACT that for 7 years we've been paying the price of having a globalist chimp in charge.
(GCIC)
My memory is so vivid
ReplyDelete(for a change)
about Bush having HUMAN Reactions after 9-11, then he uttered the "C" word (crusade) got smacked down, and it's been a downward spiral ever since.
The Country succombed to PC dhimmified Bonerhood.
ReplyDeleteYou have done a yeoman's job of keeping the GCIC front and center at the EB.
ReplyDeleteHe's done a damned good job of trashing the country in 7 years:
ReplyDeleteEvery MF big city school in the country has gone straight to hell, overrun with illiterate "Hispanic" gang-bangers.
Fortress America, my ass!
He GAVE the fucking country AWAY!
Every day that goes by, I wish more ardently that Gore had won.
ReplyDeleteDoes anybody seriously believe the PUBS would have laid down passively for all this feel good socialism and open-borders SUICIDE had Gore won?
ReplyDeleteIt's climate change, dude.
ReplyDeleteHeads you lose, tails we win.
One thing Trish left out was all the brownie points and eye-covering the MFer gets for being
ReplyDelete"Born Again"
Pathetic Advertisement for 2nd Birth Abortions.
Gore didn't go completely nuts before Florida.
ReplyDeleteRemember, the Senate Voted down Kyoto 92 to nuthin, or some such.
Doug,
ReplyDeleteBush is not alone in this. There a whole congress and senate full of coconspirators to this policy. It's called a Plutocracy.
Doug: Does anybody seriously believe the PUBS would have laid down passively for all this feel good socialism and open-borders SUICIDE had Gore won?
ReplyDeleteDoes the McKennedy Illegal Immigrant Amnesty Act of 2007 ring a bell? The one that failed to get cloture and was revived by Bush at the last minute and failed again?
Here's the Pubs voting YEA:
Bennett (R-UT)
Craig (R-ID)
Graham (R-SC)
Gregg (R-NH)
Hagel (R-NE)
Kyl (R-AZ)
Lieberman (ID-CT)
Lott (R-MS)
Lugar (R-IN)
Martinez (R-FL)
McCain (R-AZ)
Snowe (R-ME)
Specter (R-PA)
But with conservative leadership it never woulda turned out this bad, Mat.
ReplyDeleteHyeana's post being a perfect example.
Gore never woulda gotten the Nobel had he become President.
ReplyDeleteJimmah never woulda gotten his if he hadn't.
Heads they win, tails we lose.
Doug,
ReplyDeleteI don't know how you would solve such problems except by radically changing the system.
I prefer a more fluid political system. It has is minuses in that its highly unstable and is only suited for small countries, but it has its one big plus, accountability. Of-course, right now even that system is in the doghouse thanks to Sharon's political machination. :)
"Josef Joffe at the Harvard Institute for Middle Eastern Studies argues that Europeans are dealing with the Fitna incident in a traditional, but effective way. Joffe says that in Europe, pre-emptive censorship is far more normal than in the US due to an historical fear of communal violence."
ReplyDelete---
Communal Violence,
that sounds pretty sexy to me.
A two year one term only for all political positions seems to me to be the only way to break this political lock.
ReplyDeleteHey, we would still have a country Mat, if W had just kept on drinking insteada being reborn.
ReplyDeleteBest system in the World until Bush/NEA took their mortal toll.
Wrong,
ReplyDeleteA Nuke over DC when EVERYBODY is there is the only thing that could save us now.
The 600 or so politicians, and the half a million or so lifetime traitors, VAPORIZED in a second.
PBUNukes!
Habu wants to nuke them,
ReplyDeleteI wanna Nuke "us."
"us" being them, in fact.
:)
ReplyDeleteOr send them to Mexico City to live out the rest of their lives. That's what they did with traitors in old days. I think there's a lot of wisdom in that.
Habu said...
ReplyDeleteI will lead the parade for the person who can create a behavioral paradigm that will "evolve" 112 million plus radical Islams into even just "normal" wife beating, lying, stoning to death, Islams.
:-)
My lawyer been saying for some years just always vote against whoever is in office. And stick to that the rest of your life:) I'm thinking it over.
ReplyDeleteHow much did he charge you for that advice? :D
ReplyDelete"My lawyer been saying for some years just always vote against whoever is in office. And stick to that the rest of your life:) I'm thinking it over."
ReplyDelete//////////////////
years ago i read -
politicians are like diapers
and need to be changed frequently
for the same reason
We don't have to worry about global warming, cause we're all going to be dead from cell phone use. Cell Phones More Dangerous Than Smoking, Asbestos
ReplyDeleteI don't know about smoking asbestos though.
But, you can't bring up possible health effects, folks, when deciding about putting a cell phone tower in your neighborhood. That's The Law. Brought to you by the communications lobbyists.
This is a threat I think is real. Didn't mean much to my congregation, though, when they voted to put a cell phone tower on church property, for a few bucks. I voted against it. My conscience is clear, I can die at peace.
A Gamma Ray Burst now and then might not be so bad, in fact, you might not even have been here without one.
ReplyDeleteHere's Page One
ReplyDelete