First, there is not much hope of the American people wishing for another Republican president. That can be open for argument, but I cannot think that any Republican will have an advantage by being a Republican. GWB has tarnished that coin.
People are open for a change. The Democrats are capable of doing something ridiculous, but assume that will not happen. We can also assume that Bush will do something spectacular that will change everything. Not a money bet.
Barack Obama is unlikely to win if he gets the nomination. That will be obvious by polling. His chances are not realistic.
Hillary Clinton has peaked in popularity. She is not going to win any converts and has problems with her Iraq vote over on the very significant left side of the party
Yet the Democrats are very determined to win. It will become obvious that the Democrats have one candidate that can hold onto existing Democratic states and add the red states, of Virginia, Ohio and Florida. That is Jim Webb.
Who do the Republicans have that can keep those three states , win Pennsylvania and possibly New York?
Do the math.
Maine-4
Vermont-3
New Hampshire-4
Massachusetts -12
Rhode Island -4
Connecticut-7
Pennsylvania -21
New Jersey- 15
New York - 31
Delaware-3
Virginia- 13
Ohio- 20
Michigan-17
Wisconsin-10
Illinois-21
Iowa- 7
Minnesota-10
Florida- 27
Washington- 11
Oregon- 7
California- 55
Hawaii- 4
306,and it is President Webb.
