The Future of Iran's Nuclear Program

The chess pieces are being aligned. This much is known:

A. There will be no serious UN action.
B. The EU will not engage Iran in a meaningful way.
C. Iran will develop a nuclear weapon.
D. Iran has promised to destroy Israel.
E. None of the Arab countries want a nuclear Iran.
F. The US has nothing to gain by being the tip of the spear.
G. The US cannot afford for Israel to fail.
H. China and Russia will oppose anything.
I. Israel has little to lose and much to gain by destroying the Iranian program.

Conclusion

Israel will plan to attack the Iranian facilities with heavy US logistical and intelligence support. The US may loan military equipment to Israel to support the goal and provide backup if needed. Time of action within twelve to eighteen months. Iran will consider this and do anything, including stopping the program under international supervision, to stop this. With the proper Iranian fold, including pressure from Russia, China and the EU, the Iranian nuclear program will cease with the Israeli planes idle on the runway.

Israel Calls Iran Its Greatest Threat

Sep 20, 11:09 PM (ET)

By NICK WADHAMS

(AP) Israeli Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni addresses the 61st session of the United Nations General...


UNITED NATIONS (AP) - The Israeli foreign minister on Wednesday warned that Iranian leaders pose the biggest threat to the world's values because they "speak proudly" of their wish to destroy Israel and pursue weapons to achieve that objective.
Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni told the annual U.N. General Assembly session that the international community must stand up against Iran, which she claimed is pursuing the weapons to destroy Israel, a reference to its suspect nuclear program.
"There is no greater challenge to our values than that posed by the leaders of Iran," Livni said. "They deny and mock the Holocaust. They speak proudly and openly of their desire to wipe Israel off the map. And now, by their actions, they pursue the weapons to achieve this objective, to imperil the region and to threaten the world."
She said Iran's support of the Islamic militant group Hezbollah in south Lebanon showed the threat it poses to the region. The world must ensure that it enforces the U.N. Security Council resolution that ended more than a month of fighting between Israel and Hezbollah, Livni said.
"There is no place for such a regime in the family of nations," she said.

MyWay News

Back to Basics on Border Control?

Arrest made in Colo. dragging death - Yahoo! News
Posted: Thursday September 21,2006 - 03:06:01 am

By KIM NGUYEN, Associated Press Writer 1 hour, 37 minutes ago

CASTLE ROCK, Colo.
Jose Luis Rubi-Nava, 36, was being held without bail on a first-degree murder charge at the Douglas County jail.

The woman, whose strangled and battered body was found Monday in a subdivision about 20 miles south of Denver, had still not been identified. Preliminary autopsy results indicated she died of asphyxiation and head injuries from the dragging, the coroner's office said.

Nancy Foley, who lives near the house where the body was found, said the woman was found with an orange tow rope around her neck and that her face was unrecognizable. Investigators said she had been dragged for at least a mile.

Investigators did not say how or why the photo had been left near the body.

The photo shows Rubi-Nava with his right arm casually draped on a woman's shoulder. Sheriff Dave Weaver said investigators had not determined whether the woman in the photo was the victim.

The photo had been made public after the body was found, and investigators said it prompted a flood of calls. Weaver said tips from the public had led to the arrest, but he did not elaborate.

At a court appearance Wednesday afternoon, Rubi-Nava listened impassively through a translator as District Judge Paul A. King formally told him the charge he faces.

King sealed the arrest warrant affidavit, which outlines the preliminary allegations against Rubi-Nava, at the request of public defender Kathleen McGuire. King said he would consider McGuire's request for a gag order.

Immigration and Customs Enforcement spokesman Carl Rusnok said agents believe Rubi-Nava is an illegal immigrant from Mexico and were trying to confirm his identity.

The Noble Islamic Man, Protector of the True Faith and of Woman

Why are we talking about rough interrogations of Islamic human garbage?

Last weekend a 24-year old Moroccan woman was assaulted in Antwerp by a group of male Moroccan youths. They began by reproaching her for not wearing a headscarf. When she answered back, they beat her up. When the police intervened to protect the woman the officers were attacked by about thirty youths hurling stones. Fortunately, the officers were able to relief the brave woman and escort her to hospital. She has meanwhile been discharged from hospital, though one dreads to think what may await her when she returns to her own community.

“We have no figures, but we notice that there are more and more incidents of verbal abuse towards Muslim women by male immigrants who cannot stomach that they do not wear the veil,” says Sven Lommaert of the Antwerp police, in one of today’s papers: “Often the abuse is limited to insults, but sometimes the women are attacked.”

So begins another tale of the noble Islamic man.We often hear Islam is a religion of peace hijacked by yada yada yada. Bullshit. Islam belongs in the category of our religious beliefs such as cannibalism and the live sacrifice of animals. We waste our chatter on the humiliation and interrogation of some of these captured Islamic warriors and there are 750 million woman at the mercy of these Islamic punks. Excuse me while I spit. (the picture depicted is of another beaten Muslim woman and not the woman in Antwerp. Is she being protected?)

Please read the entire article in the link.

Back by Popular Demand - The Reprobates' Corner

Post 'em if you got em.

American Hiroshima

Glenn Beck, today talked to Hamid Mir , a Pakistani journalist (and the only person to interview Osama bin-Laden after 9/11.) Mir has an interesting story about how he was warned to get out of Aghanistan because al-Qaeda and the Taliban have lined up 600 suicide bombers. The most interesting thing about what Mir is saying these days though that not only was Mir warned by the new al-Qaeda field commander in Afghanistan, Abu Dawood, to leave, but Dawood is also calling for Muslims to leave the U.S. – particularly Washington and New York – prior to a major terror attack. Hamid Mir said that Abu Dawood told him that the attack is being coordinated by Adnan el-Shukrijumah and involves WMD that has already been smuggled across the Mexican border. Mir said on Glenn Beck’s radio program today that the three recent bombings seem to bear out the warning about the suicide bombers in Aghanistan. Mir says that the attack could be imminent because bin-Laden has fulfilled the cycle of warnings required by the Koran.

From the Sep 1, Patriot Post:

Hamid Mir, the famed Pakistani journalist who obtained the only post-9/11 interviews with Osama bin Laden and Ayman al-Zawahiri, believes a nuclear attack against the United States is on the horizon, to be coordinated by the cleric-fascist state of Iran and its terrorist surrogate, al-Qa'ida. "Al-Qa'ida and Iran have a long, secret relationship," Mir says, and they've named their plans for a nuclear attack on the U.S.---using nuclear devices that Mir believes they already possess ---"American Hiroshima."

The association between Iran and al-Qa'ida, Mir says, dates to June 1996, when bin Laden joined other jihadist leaders in Tehran to discuss their goals. Others in attendance included Muhammad Ali Ahmad of al-Qa'ida, Imad al-Alami and Mustafa al-Liddawi of Hamas, Ahmad Jibril of the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine, Egyptian Islamic Jihad's Ahmad Salah, Palestinian Islamic Jihad's Ramadan Shallah, Hizballah's Imad Mugniyah and Abdallah Ocalan of the Kurdish People Party. The meeting, says Mir, produced the "Committee of Three," consisting of bin Laden, Salah and Mugniyah, who would be responsible for the "coordination, planning and execution of attacks" on the U.S. and Israel. Shortly thereafter, on 23 August 1996, bin Laden issued his fatwa, "Declaration of War on Americans Occupying the Country of the Two Holy Places."

In one interview with Mir, bin Laden boasts, "It is not difficult [to obtain tactical nuclear devices], not if you have contacts in Russia with other militant groups. They are available for $10 million and $20 million." At the time, bin Laden claimed already to be in possession of such devices, and Mir believes that they may already be forward-deployed within the United States. While this information is, of course, not confirmable, and may be no more than enemy misinformation, it is plausible.

For these reasons---the nature of our enemy's threat and his determination to see our destruction---the only applicable defense is the doctrine of pre-emption.

After the bizarre, UN performances of Amadinejad and Chavez there may be more people agreeing with the pre-emption sentiment.

Another in the "Islam is the Problem" series.

Karzai says in this article that troops alone cannot end terror in Afghanistan. Probably not, and he suggests the problem is in Pakistan. I think based on this picture there may even be a larger problem.

Troops in Afghanistan can't end terror - Karzai

By David Ljunggren and Michelle Nichols
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Foreign troops in Afghanistan will not be able to end attacks by Taliban militants unless "terrorist sanctuaries" outside the country are destroyed, President Hamid Karzai said on Wednesday, in a clear reference to Pakistan.

NATO troops are battling to quell the heaviest bout of violence in Afghanistan since 2001 when U.S.-led forces overthrew the Islamic-fundamentalist Taliban, which had been sheltering Osama bin-Laden and his al Qaeda organization.

Karzai told the U.N. General Assembly that outsiders, whom he did not identify, were behind the new upsurge of violence.

"Military action in Afghanistan alone, therefore, will not deliver our shared goal of eliminating terrorism," he told the U.N. General Assembly. There are around 41,000 foreign troops in Afghanistan.

U.S. Army Gen. John Abizaid, the commander overseeing American operations in Afghanistan, on Tuesday expressed concern about Taliban military activity being organized and supported from inside Pakistan.

Pro-Taliban militants and the Pakistani government reached a deal on Sept. 5 under which the militants agreed to stop attacks in the country and in Afghanistan in return for a halt in government's operations in the region.

Critics say Pakistan's government has virtually caved in to the militants' demands and the strategy risked creating a safe haven for Taliban insurgents and their al Qaeda allies.

But Pakistani President Pervez Musharraf, speaking in New York, said the deal was with tribal elders rather than militants and represented "the best strategy we have employed" against the Taliban.

Rebels can freely cross the mountainous frontier between the two countries. Some Afghan leaders have accused Islamabad of failing to do enough to stop infiltration, or even of continuing to support its former protege, the Taliban.

In his speech, Karzai said: "We must look beyond Afghanistan to the sources of terrorism. We must destroy terrorist sanctuaries beyond Afghanistan, dismantle the elaborate networks in the region that recruit, indoctrinate, train, finance, arm and deploy terrorists."

U.S. President George W. Bush will host a joint meeting in Washington next week with Karzai and Musharraf.

Musharraf told the Clinton Global Initiative summit: "Military action against al Qaeda or militant Taliban continues and Pakistan has not withdrawn a single soldier."

He also said there was a misperception that Pakistan was a base for terrorism.

"Yes indeed there are people who are abetting, supporting the terrorists in the tribal agencies of Pakistan. As I said, al Qaeda had its base there with more bias in Pakistan, less in Afghanistan," he said.

"But Taliban, the command echelon, the control of (leader) Mullah Omar is in the southern provinces of Afghanistan."

Reuters

Be Careful How You Use Your Cell Phone

THE JOY OF TEXT – OR CALL OF LOVE? Mobile usage can predict our intentions in love

We all know that Britons have committed to a life-long relationship with their mobile phone. Now researchers have found that our mobile habits can give early pointers to the outcome of our intimate relationships, even revealing whether we are looking for love or just plain old lust

According to a new study by dating service PARSHIP.co.uk looking at the dating habits of singles across Britain, love-cheats, two-timers and all-round commitment-phobes are twice as likely to arrange a first date by text, than those looking for love. The study of 1,000 single people discovered that six out of ten (60%) of casual daters use text to arrange their first meeting, whereas voice calls were the choice of over two thirds (67%) of people looking for a serious relationship.

Text on a first date?

The texting doesn’t stop there. The study also found that singles looking for a fling are five times more likely to text their date immediately after a rendezvous: 16% get their thumbs working, compared to just 3% of those on the look-out for real love. People in the latter category take a more considered approach to following up that first meeting. Not wanting to seem either over-keen or uninterested, the majority make a follow-up call within two days - 34% the next day and 41% the day after that. Most flingsters take a more laid-back approach, 47% get back in contact within a week, while 11% say they would simply wait to be contacted.

Psychiatrist and dating expert, Dr Victoria Lukats, who led the research on the PARSHIP singles study, commented: ‘If someone is really keen and thinks you’re relationship material, they are more likely to do everything they can to win your heart. Whilst phoning someone you don’t know very well to arrange a date may be more nerve-wracking, people who are really taking it seriously will feel the extra effort is worth it.’

‘Texting has caused a minor revolution in the way we communicate in the early stages of a relationship, but singles looking for love would be wise to take note of this research. A few friendly texts can be fine, but the recipient is likely to view texts or emails as being more impersonal – everyone knows they don’t require as much effort as a phone-call.’

Don’t text me, I’ll text you

The mobile’s dominance does, however, falter when it comes to ending a relationship, with the highest proportion of singles preferring to do the deed in person: one third of them (30%) ended an affair face-to-face. 22% resorted to the long-distance silent treatment, with as many as 28% of men (vs just 16% of women) preferring to simply ignore their latest ex. Phone was the choice of 16% for that difficult conversation, while 15% chickened out with an email and just 14% with a text message.

Love cheats

What’s more, 42% of singles (38% of men and 47% of women) say they have been duped in the past by love cheats who claimed they were single, but were in fact either married or in a serious relationships. Only 11% people looking for a serious relationship claim to have two-timed, compared to 20% of this looking for a casual fling.

Other findings from the PARSHIP singles study found that:

Singles from the North of England (47%) are the most likely to arrange a first date by text. What’s more, 46% of singles from the North say they have date a two-timers, compared to just 36% from Scotland.

In the last 12 months Britain’s singles made 30.4 million voice calls, sent 26.4 million text messages and 5.6 million emails to arrange a first date. - Sourcewire, UK

Your Move George

In the continuing drama of Vladimir testing George's tolerance for anal trauma, the Bear is changing the rules again.

"Russian bear ready to maul Western oil majors
By Andrew Osborn in Moscow and Michael Harrison in London
Published: 20 September 2006

The biggest Western investment in Russia to date - the $20bn (£10bn) Sakhalin-2 oil and gas development off the Siberian coast - was plunged into further turmoil yesterday after the Kremlin said talks over Gazprom taking a stake in the project had stalled.
The bombshell came as Shell, which is the lead company in the project with a 55 per cent shareholding, faced the very real prospect of being stripped of a key environmental licence for its development of Sakhalin-2, throwing the future of the entire project into uncertainty.
Shell has been in talks with Gazprom for more than a year about swapping 25 per cent of its interest in Sakhalin-2 for a half share in one of the state-owned Russian gas company's onshore fields in central Siberia. But yesterday, Gazprom said the talks with Shell over a possible asset swap were off."

http://news.independent.co.uk/business/analysis_and_features/article1621791.ece