Tuesday, November 07, 2006

And They Are Off! 2008 Running of the Washington Stakes.

There are many stories to this election, but the big one is voter dissatisfaction with their own party. That will determine the outcome.It is not so much the Republican's dislike for the Democrats as much as it is how much the Republicans dislike the Republicans. Less so with the Democrats. They thought they had spoken when they knocked off Lieberman in Connecticut. Lieberman went down and the Democratic establishment abandoned him. Yesterday, Lieberman said he does not owe an impending win to the Republicans. I did not see him so I cannot say he said so with a straight face, but whatever gains are made by Lieberman and by the Democrats, it is because Republicans did not govern like Republicans. Bad decisions have consequences. This is what William F. Buckley
has to say:
..."If George Bush ever took to the bottle again, he might confide that he wishes he had never got into war in Iraq. I too wish he hadn't, but that's not because he was wrong in going in. He was moved by a conviction that Saddam Hussein was productively engaged in manufacturing weapons of mass destruction, that he was in league with a terrorist movement that threatened the Middle East, and that America needed to demonstrate its willingness to use its own resources to fight against incipient threats to regional and national security.

Joe Lieberman agreed. He was hardly the only Democrat to back President Bush in 2003, but his special prominence -- he had, after all, been Al Gore's running mate in the campaign of 2000 -- attracted attention to his continued backing of Mr. Bush on foreign policy. The especially sibilant left set out to make the backing of President Bush an excommunicable offense. So that when a pleasant and wealthy young man in Greenwich, Conn., volunteered to head up the posse, he got the backing of the Democratic left. And when the showdown came, the ideological avengers won the day. Senator Lieberman was defeated in the Democratic primary.

This meant to the population at large that hard-bitten Democratic leftists were bidding for control of the party and had scored a huge victory in a critical exchange by defeating a three-term senator who once ran for vice president. The bigger they are ... the harder they fall. So there was much rejoicing in the Jacobin camp when Mr. Lieberman lost.

But of course almost immediately Senator Lieberman announced that he would run as an independent. This gave the dissenters in Connecticut -- Democratic, Republican, and independent -- an opportunity to vote against the execution of the prominent and effective incumbent, who has thought and acted in what he believed the national interest, never mind that the commander in chief was a Republican.

The features of the Democratic leadership are not yet set. The left is eager to assert itself as the true heir of the Democratic tradition, even as in 1948, under the leadership of Henry Wallace, the left attempted to take over the party of FDR and Harry Truman. It failed, and may fail again. But much depends on how much life there is in the opposition, and the first challenge is to vote to retain Joe Lieberman in office."


Join The Contest: Post your final entry here for the outcome of the election. The cut-off is 1300 EST, US. The closest to the outcome will win $100 American Express Certificate. An exact guess will win $250. In the event of a tie, two certificates will be awarded. In the event of more than a two way tie, the posts nearest to 1300 EST will be considered the winners. The winner can make a guest post.

The winning estimate will be the closest to the actual. You will lose one point for each seat that you are off. A perfect score will be "zero". For example if you guess the Democrats pick up 12 in the House and 4 in the Senate, and that happens, you have a perfect score of "zero". If you had guessed a Democratic pick up of 14 and it was actually 12, you have a score of "-2". Change your mind as often as you like till 1300 EST. I will tabulate from your latest. You will not have two guesses. Your latest is your only valid entry. Those of you with multiple personalities can only use one. You know who you are and Whit will confirm, we CAN tell who you are. Have fun.

243 comments:

  1. Post your final entry here for the outcome of the election. The cut-off is 1300 EST, US. The closest to the outcome will win $100 American Express Certificate. An exact guess will win $250. In the event of a tie, two certificates will be awarded. The winner can make a guest post.

    The winning estimate will be the closest to the actual. You will lose one point for each seat that you are off. A perfect score will be "zero". For example if you guess the Democrats pick up 12 in the House and 4 in the Senate, and that happens, you have a perfect score of "zero". If you had guessed a Democratic pick up of 14 and it was actually 12, you have a score of "-2". Change your mind as often as you like till 1300 EST. I will tabulate from your latest. You will not have two guesses. Your latest is your only valid entry. Those of you with multiple personalities can only use one. You know who you are and Whit will confirm, we CAN tell who you are. Have fun.

    ReplyDelete
  2. So what happens if I am spot on, and then Chafee defects to the Dems?
    ---
    (from NRO SIXERS)
    I have a friend in Rhode Island—a Democrat torn between his affections for Lincoln Chafee and his desire to make Harry Reid majority leader.

    Over the weekend, my friend attended a Chafee event and cornered the senator.
    Now, my friend doesn't have a personal relationship with Chafee, but he put the question bluntly to him:
    Why should I stick with you in a race with so many national implications?

    Chafee pulled my friend aside, lowered his voice, and told him that he might not be a Republican for much longer.

    This is just one report. Take it for whatever its worth.

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  3. ...besides, Rassmussen says Chaffee is "on the slide".

    http://rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/July%202006/rhodeIslandSenate.htm

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  4. that would be Chafee, of course!

    ... must have been concentrating on my "coffee"

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  5. In the House Dems up 18, net.
    In the Senate Dems up 4

    Mr Chafee's long term party affiliation will not be a factor.

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  6. Pessimism : Dems up 25 in the house and 7 in the senate?

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  7. Today is the power to the people day.
    I predict the House will install a Starbucks and a Ben and Jerry's if the Dems take over.
    If the Reps hold the majority it will be daily catered fondue by "Fondue Oui" and fountain drinks by Coca Cola, that franchise being given to Zell Miller.
    There will be emergency psychiatrists on suicide watch if there's a massive Rep turn out and they retain both Houses.
    Elect 'em, elect'em good.
    Semper Fi and good luck America.

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  8. The other day someone, whit I think, has the solution to the Iraqi Challenge. I compared the situation to St Louis and Detroit.

    In that if those cities were full of criminals and out of control, how could we expect to "secure" criminals in Iraq.

    I was told, not incorrectly I thought, that the situations were not really comparable. I was making the case that language & cultural skills and such made the police job in Iraq almost impossible for US to accomplish.

    There is an Austrailian film maker, a War story documentarian, George Gittoes, that recently visited Miami. His perspective differs, greatly.

    MORE fighting goes on in parts of suburban US than Iraq, according to Australian filmmaker George Gittoes who has just finished a documentary set in a Miami "war zone".
    ...
    "It is much worse in Miami than it is in Baghdad," Gittoes said in Sydney today.

    "There is a sense of people with guns, drug dealers lairing at you ... and being there, I knew I was in a war zone."

    Rampage is the second in Gittoes trilogy of documentaries based on the war in Iraq.
    ...
    "Even left-wing Americans ... don't want to recognise the mess they've got in their own backyard," he said.

    Gittoes has spent much of his career travelling the world, painting, filming and photographing wars in places such as Rwanda, Afghanistan, and East Timor.

    "To me, this was just another war zone and it was in America," he said.

    Gittoes said there were similar stories to Rampage in Australia's indigenous communities, although he said the task of translating that on the big screen would be difficult.

    "The film that I'd like to make in Australia I couldn't make," he said.

    "All of our politically correct laws and things wouldn't let someone like me make a film like this in an Aboriginal community in Australia."


    Perspective, as allen has come to learn, here at the Bar, is all important. It presents it's own "truths" and can warp reality.

    The link is over at drudge.

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  9. I predict a surprise outcome caused by Democrats staying home and Republicans holding their noses and voting straight Republican tickets. When I voted at 6 am this morning there were almost 100 in line behind me, usually there's only 20 or so.

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  10. So if you're Osama in a cave waiting for the returns what do you do. Here's my guess.

    1. Preparing a letter to go to "Red" Ted Kennedy on how they can undermine the last years of the Bush administration.
    2. Sending John "The Jerk" Murtha, and James Webb autographed pictures.
    3. Sending out the code word for new attacks.
    4. Having dinner with Geo. Soros,Vlad Putain(French spelling)and for desert Cindy Sheehan doing the dance of the Seven Veils.

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  11. I do not doubt that the Republicans will turn out in force.

    John Shadegg will gain reelection, here in AZ, with an impressive majority.

    This situation may well be mirrored across the Red zone. IL is not that Red, Mr Hyde's District for example. Ms Duckworth seems a formidable Dem candidate, even though running is a bit tough for her, since she lost her legs in Iraq.
    Remember that though the Dems held the minority of the Seats in the Senate, their combined vote totals were larger then the Republican Majority.

    The GOP held the majority with a minority of votes, just as Mr Bush held the White House in his first term. It's more than "turn out" but where the turn out is.

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  12. My reading of the entrails:

    House Dems net gain 22 (Dems take majority)
    Senate Dems net gain 4 (Repubs maintian marjority)

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  13. Another of the ceaseless waves eroding the shoreline of America and the Constitution.

    ACLU in the Vanguard

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  14. Well, that goes back to my '83 & '84 lament.
    Not only has Danny boy regained the Presidency, but the posterity of my indig warriors have morphed into MS-13. These fellows are, in their own way, a mirror image of Jr. They are spread across the length and breadth of the US and hold loyalty to no one, but their own clan and the long green.

    Guns for hire, across the Americas.
    We have mismanaged, by neglect, our own backyard. Now the weeds are thick as thieves.

    Watch the film of desert wildfires for an anologous situation. Even the controlled burns jump the fire lines and spread, well beyond the scope of the authorities to manage.

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  15. According to Alexa Internet Traffic Reports, the Libertarian Party Website is currently the highest ranked official political party website in the United States

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  16. Well, habu, there is no doubt that the illegal migrant workers are subject to the the Federals "... failing to protect millions of undocumented workers from exploitation and discrimination in the workplace."

    The criminal migrants are loathe to report crimes to the Police.
    The Federals have created, through negkect and incompetence, a major problem, here in the US.

    The problem is there, the solution is open to debate. Vote amnesty, vote Republican. Bush, MeCain & all the rest of the Skull & Bones elite stand shoulder to shoulder in that regard.

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  17. Vote education
    Vote Librarian

    For what it was worth, I did.
    So that mail in ballot, from a registered Republican, may not have hit the right column in Mr Rove's preelection figures.

    Maybe it was just me, maybe not.

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  18. What’s wrong with this picture? The answer will indicate why the Republicans are going to have a long day of worry.

    He’s Not Toast

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  19. And he speaks the truth. allen.
    As Mr Diem or the Shah about the long term value of US committments to a foreign leader.

    Ask the Hungarians and those in Prauge in '68 about US committment to liberty and freedom.

    The Hmong know well the value of US promises. As well do the Shia' of Iraq, learning their lesson in 1991.

    The US cannot make the "long haul", it never has. Win and win now, or don't join the fight at all.

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  20. DR,

    The problem, DR, is his being able to talk at all.

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  21. Allen,
    re: He's Not Toast.

    He's right. I was in Saigon up until 3 days before the last day.
    We left 6-10k S. Vietnamese. I'm sure they were all killed. We had promised to get them out. Promised.
    The very end was chaos of our making or at least abetting ans I point the finger at Henry Kissenger who for some insane reason thought he could still negotiate an end while the entire North Vietnamese Army was right outside of town. What an ego.
    I have said it before. I'll fight for this country but we are a very iffy partner after the first six months.

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  22. If not him, allen, his replacement will continue to rant and rave..

    Glance at the LGF comments, all about "him" not his ideology or his "movement". Take "him" out. He should die, etc. Barely a comment on the "big picture".

    If only Hitler had been killed, in '42, Himmler and Heydrick would have been push overs without him around?

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  23. West Virginia: Sen. Robert Byrd (R) survived until the election, which was all he had to do in order to defeat businessman John Raese (R). Likely Democratic Retention.
    ___Robert Novak

    It's alive! It's alive!

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  24. Democrats pick up 12 House seats, blame Kerry. Senate is split 50:50, Cheney comes out of hiding for the next two years to break ties.

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  25. DR,

    Some things should be done for principal's sake.

    Obviously, I disagree that the removal of key players makes no difference. If key players are removed coincidentally with major military action, all's the better.

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  26. Well, allen, the Israeli killed the first to HB leaders in Lebanon. Which is to bad, because a competent leader emerged in their wakes.

    What was gained by those targeted killings, in the long term?

    How has targeted assassination helped in Gaza? More rockets fly now than ever before.

    Mesquite is not killed by plucking the flowers or even cutting down the tree, but only by digging out the roots. It is really the only way to eleminate the problem.

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  27. DR,

    At the moment I am talking tactics and you are talking strategy.

    Yes, the followers of Fatah and Hamas daily launch munitions into Israel. They are flaying away like an enraged fighter, for lack of disciplined leadership. Eventually, they will provoke massive Israeli retaliation. That will take the game back to the "start" square. Granted, this will not eradicate the disease; however, it will weaken its effects, at least temporarily.

    ReplyDelete
  28. Buddy Larsen and Catherine are vicious, vicious street fighters, e.g. as shown by buddy larsen's repost to Teresita:

    "But I regret hurting your feelings, and apologize for doing so. I blame Bush for my cruse ways.

    (c'mon, smile!)"

    As I said, "vicious", and possibly rabid.

    ReplyDelete
  29. Deuce,

    It looks as if some “Muslim” women are starting to attention, even in the Muslim world. Now, they just have to stay alive.

    Dr. Sanity

    Dr. Sanity

    Dr. Sanity

    ReplyDelete
  30. No more bets......No more bets

    The Window is Closed

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  31. Allen,

    There seems to be some Muslim men who could use some circumcism, perhaps slightly under the jaw. Why is that not on MSNBC?

    ReplyDelete
  32. Hey, elections come and elections go. Now, this is real news!

    New York Plans to Make Gender Personal Choice
    “Separating anatomy from what it means to be a man or a woman, New York City is moving forward with a plan to let people alter the sex on their birth certificate even if they have not had sex-change surgery.”


    Oh sure, go ahead and laugh, you narrow minded bigots, again failing to grasp the implications of the big progressive picture.

    Look, if something as immutable as sex can be changed by fiat, why not species?

    Yes, I can hear you now, “What’s so special about becoming a duck? Well, you silly goose, only humans can be taxed.

    ReplyDelete
  33. Deuce,

    re: Muslim men who could use some circumcism, perhaps slightly under the jaw.

    That would fit well with the mandatory lobotomies all Muslim male Ph.D. candidates undergo prior to oral dissertations.

    ReplyDelete
  34. re: Progressive species change

    It is a forgone conclusion that only Progressives may be squirrels.

    ReplyDelete
  35. So, will the market break through to 12,200 today?

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  36. Look, if something as immutable as sex can be changed by fiat, why not species?

    I suppose if a man went from driving a Hummer to driving a Fiat, that would count as a sex change, in a way.

    ReplyDelete
  37. DEWEY WINS !!!

    DEWEY WINS !!!!!

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  38. HERE'S SOME NUMBERS TO PONDER
    from Winds of Change.

    Certitude with Mushrooms

    ReplyDelete
  39. We're saved...luckily if you act NOW and send HABU $20.00US we can get out of this jam....so don't be one of those who pump's up da jam, jam it damn it...now the cure..


    Easy Liv'in

    ReplyDelete
  40. Don't worry, habu, we've got plenty of time, now.
    We've decided to fight the "Long War" regardless of the fact that Mr Bush said
    "time is short"
    way back in '02.
    Times do change, you know, but regardless, it also March on.

    tick tock tick.

    ReplyDelete
  41. Half life of plutonium 238 is ONLY
    4.5 billion years ..we got no problem.

    The half life of uranium is 760 million years. If the age of the earth is 4.2 billion years, then 4.2/.76 = about 6 doublings or about 64 times as much uranium existed on earth at creation as exists now. Uranium is rather heavy. Why doesn't it sink and become more concentrated at the core? Would this high concentration uranium cause early Earth's volcanoes? ANSWER HERE

    There are three different isotopes of uranium. They are:
    uranium-234: half life = 244 thousand years, 0.0055% of all uranium.
    uranium-235: half life = 704 million years, 0.72% of all uranium.
    uranium-238: half life = 4.5 billion years, 99.28% of all uranium.


    Half-life is the length of time required for half of a given number of initial number of atoms of that isotope to decay.

    Elements with short half-lifes, like uranium-235 and potassium-40 (half-life = 1.25 billion years), were important in the early thermal history of the Earth. About 2.5 billion years ago, elements with longer half-lives, like uranium-238, became more important. Heat production was about 4 times greater 4 billion years ago than it is today. Part of that high heat production is from the decay of the elements with short half-lifes. The other part of that heat was from the accretion of the Earth and the formation of the core. Estimates suggests heat production was divided equally between radioactive decay and accretion

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  42. DR,
    Truthfully, there's not a lot that I worry about.

    Ole Malcolm Forbes, the original, lead a very full life and on his grave he had carved.

    "While alive he lived" ...I think that's the ticket.

    ReplyDelete
  43. Must have a lot of posters out there just holding their breath til the polls close.

    We could be talk'n about the Petronis Towers or something...soda run..back soon.

    ReplyDelete
  44. rufus said:

    Fed-Ex just cancelled 15 orders for the new A380, and ordered Boeings, with an option for 15 more.

    In another strategic re-deployment:

    PARIS -- Airbus will slash the number of suppliers it uses by 80 percent, from 3,000 to 500, as part of a critical restructuring program, a spokeswoman confirmed Monday.

    Taxpayers in Eutopia who are underwriting Airbus at gunpoint have nothing to worry about! It's just a very important initiative!

    ReplyDelete
  45. I've just been to the BC. "Woman Catholic" sounds alot like Andrew Sullivan and Teresita.

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  46. Well, sure.

    The undecided broke to the Dems, according to FOX News.
    As per Mr Morris's prediction

    Still early

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  47. I will watch a movie tonight, internet and TV free.

    Tomorrow will be time enough to learn how the nation will go.

    Not believing in force is the same as not believing in gravity.
    Thomas Hobbes

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  48. Richard Armitage is now in Australia badmouthing the White House and rooting for the Dems.

    Didn't he have an important job in the Bush administration?

    Why are the Republicans having such difficulty?

    ReplyDelete
  49. habu,

    re: Thomas Hobbes

    An old, dead, white man. ;-)

    ReplyDelete
  50. Asst, Sec of State, was Mr A.

    Yeah, the Republicans have lost their "Vision", and their core values. Seems to me.

    They definately moved away from me, others as well I'm told.
    Much like the Democrats left Mr Reagan, back in the day.

    ReplyDelete
  51. I am blogging from a expat bar in Costa Rica. The Americans here are mostly anti- Republican.A couple of Germans and a Christopher Hitchens conservative Englishman. I would sy 50% did not vote.

    ReplyDelete
  52. The Englishman is having a go at the yanks supporting Bush.

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  53. "Woman Catholic said...
    dave h said:

    Saddam Hussein was a terrorist indeed, ask the relatives of the 180,000 Kurds he killed. He controlled vast amounts of men and money and was a sworn enemy of the USA, anyone who left him alive and in power should have been impeached.

    I wonder why the Republicans made American children have to hear about DNA on Monica's dress, when all they had to do was charge Clinton with breaking the US law against leaving rich sworn enemies of the USA in power."

    Is this nuts?

    ReplyDelete
  54. Deuce,

    Have one for me, you lucky dog.

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  55. No surprise in Indiana and New Hampshire. A very un-Republican looking tica at the bar is wearing an elephant hat. Who'da guessed.

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  56. The girls here like those tight low riding jeans and she has the belly for it.

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  57. The portly Englishman has taken off her hat and is wearing it.

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  58. They have CNN on here. Wolf blitzer talking Kentucky three with the Repub trailing. Kentucky 2 not doing well eithe. Indiana and John Hostetler trailing. Not looking good for the Repubs.

    ReplyDelete
  59. I want to give my money to Charlie Manson.
    Jeez

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  60. Allen gets 57% of ex Gi's and rejecting webb.

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  61. He will not make that catch. I can predict that based on early exit polls now. Ticas have great eyes, but this girl's belly is awesome.

    ReplyDelete
  62. Guess who is in here? James Kieland! i am sure it is him, He does not know who I am. he ain't pretty.

    ReplyDelete
  63. He is well tanked and seems very pleased with results. He is a Canadian. Talk about a small world.

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  64. He does not have an awesome belly.

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  65. The girl with the belly is leaning over me asking me what I am doing? I explained to her. She says "Pura vida". She may have a message for Doug if he comes back.

    ReplyDelete
  66. 10:03 AM Tater:
    Thanks!
    I needed that.

    ReplyDelete
  67. Nice perfume, beautiful teeth and dark hair like a young seal.

    ReplyDelete
  68. Aloha!
    And Fuck You, James K!

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  69. CNN has Candy Crowley and the Elephant has Maritza.........We win.

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  70. Martiza says fuck Hugo Chavez and gave the Englishman a high five. Maybe I was hasty in calling that race.

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  71. Paula Zahn could not hold a candle to Maritza. I asked a German how he felt about the skulls. he did not seem to get it. I told him not to worry about it.

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  72. Someone explained to the German about the skulls, he laughed and said fuck somebody. I think he has noticed Maritza as well.

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  73. Dems take Ohio Governorship. Not good.

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  74. Just voted in IL.

    Taking a media holiday myself now.

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  75. Remember your readership, Deuce:
    Don't want to set 'Rat off on one of his "Skull" Diatribes!

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  76. Ohio governership was not in play.
    Like Santorum, Blackwell is too good for this country as it now stands.

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  77. Sorry, i am back on focus. Maritza had a friend join her, Anjelica is her name.

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  78. I asked Maritza to repeat what she said about Hugo chavez, another Fuck Hugo, seems as if Angelica is Venezuelan, beautiful hands.

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  79. I bought a few drinks. Girls are doing tequila shots. No one seems stressed about the outcome of the election except the Englishman.

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  80. I think I'll have the bar keep leave the bottle. They have lost interest in the lap top.

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  81. Maritza is about 28, Angelica 43 ish, very stylish and athletic looking.

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  82. One of the key issues for elections teams on Maui and Hawai'i was the impact of last month's earthquake.

    Maui voters established a special polling place last week for residents isolated by landslides.

    And on the Big Island, three polling places needed to be changed due to damage to the structures where the voting had been scheduled to occur.

    ReplyDelete
  83. Try something else on your lap.

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  84. I better get some extra lemon slices. these girls like doing the salt routine with the tequila. Very un-pc. Marlboro lights all around.

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  85. Two American gals in the bar now. No repub votes there.

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  86. The one American has has a Che t-shirt on.

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  87. I do not think I am a very good political blogger. too easily distracted.

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  88. This is the pre-game show. I will turn it over to y'all after the 8 oclock results. whit is already to go.

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  89. I wasn't going to vote, but I just found out we might have a House Rep in play, and a long shot to take out Senator Akaka.
    Duty Calls.

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  90. 6 minutes and counting and the miserable swine Jack Cafferty is doing his usual.

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  91. 6 minutes and counting and the miserable swine Jack Cafferty is doing his usual.

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  92. Democrats leading:

    Virginia (52-47)
    Rhode Island (53-46)
    Pennsylvania (57-42)
    Ohio (57-43)
    New Jersey (52-45)
    Montana (53-46)
    Missouri (50-48)
    Maryland (53-46)

    Republicans leading:

    Tennessee (51-48)
    Arizona (50-46)

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  93. Where are those figures coming from?

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  94. It is getting hard for me to concentrate in here. Webb is pulling ahead slightly. I will turn things over to Whit and check in with you later.

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  95. There are no rivers near your house, are ther rufus?
    Hate to see you leapin' off, since the Libs don't seem to need to, yet.

    That Hoesteller fella in IN has lost. That's 1 of the 18

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  96. Try 2
    Where are those figures coming from?

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  97. Hate to say I told you so, rufus, but...

    Seen it comin' for over a year, now. The vaunted "get out the vote" campaign by Mr Rove, didn't.

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  98. Doug, these are exit polls , I got on the phone from a reporter of the Tico Times who picked them up from one of the Latin news wires. They also Say Indy 8th went demo.

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  99. I think I got htem right. It is very noisy in here.

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  100. Sooo...

    Has anyone made a salad dressing and peanut butter sandwich?

    I've heard of the fool's gold loaf but thats somethin else...

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  101. Remember what the greatest Republican said about foolin' the people, rufus. The President and Mr Rove did not.

    Bob Casey beats Santorum
    1 of the 4

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  102. Only 3% of the vote is in. If it's in the East that those votes were counted, it'd make sense for Mr Corker to be up.

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  103. Wait till you find out what a shallow twerp Casey is. An empty Robert Hall suit.

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  104. Chocola loses in IN
    Yarmuth in Kentucky wins

    Thats three of the 18

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  105. The Republicans are in trouble, time will tell about the conservatives.

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  106. It will be good if the Republicans get reminded who put them in power in the first place.

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  107. Watch Lieberman. He will want to get even. He will run for President as an Independent. Bush burned all his capital and for what? It is all up to Montana for the Senate and The Republicans. The House is gone for sure.

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  108. An honest stand on immigration and this would be a different night.

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  109. Immigration, the War, Spending and "Earmarks".

    The Blue are getting bluer
    If the two GA seats do not go the GOP, the Red will get no Redder.

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  110. rufus said:

    We'll get twenty million more "citizens."

    Good family-oriented hard-working future-minded citizens. Thank God we're not France, it could be 20 million unassimiliable 7th-Century jihadists who bring their own Imans and suicide belts and hatred for all things Western.

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  111. Santorum is a class act. Casey is a real asshole.

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  112. Raymond, this is not a cheer, but it could wake the Republicans up and remind all Americans what the Democrats are about. that may not be all bad.

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  113. Mr Murphy in CD4 wins
    That makes 4 of 18

    Ms Nancy Johnson a long time incumbent bit the bullet

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  114. The last of the Rockerfeller Wing is goin' down in the northeast.

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  115. DEFEATISTS!
    You fools:
    Believing the MSM!
    I've been gone for 2 hours and I know better than you:
    Senate is a lock.
    Rep leaning Pub!

    ReplyDelete
  116. Mr Sorel in Indiana 9 is toast
    That gets the count to 5 of my 18

    The GOP lawyers are on the case, the FBI as well. Seems it is not just the Dems that are going to resort to lawyers and Courts.

    The Nixon Standard is history.

    ReplyDelete
  117. Deuce looked at exit polls?
    Why do I read this blog???

    ReplyDelete
  118. Allen wrote:

    Is this nuts?

    desert rat said...

    Yes

    Here we go again. But I'm ready this time.

    ReplyDelete
  119. Duckworth going down:
    Heroicly losing two legs does not make up for being a liberal.

    ReplyDelete
  120. Ohio 18 goes to Mr Space
    6 of 18, third of theway

    Mr Carney in PA10
    7 of 18

    ReplyDelete
  121. It was Bush 41 that permitted Saddam to remain in power, he's the one that brought the Army home before the threat was removed, if it was in the US interest to do so.

    ReplyDelete
  122. MANCHESTER – 9:49 p.m.: BULLETIN: UnionLeader.com has learned that Republican U.S. Rep. Charles Bass is preparing to call Paul Hodes and congratulate the Democrat on his victory.

    ReplyDelete
  123. One thing for sure, Mr Allen's not running for President in '08

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  124. MANCHESTER - Updated, 10:17 p.m. Paul Hodes has beaten U.S. Rep. Charles Bass. The incumbent Republican is ready to concede. As the national Democratic wave swept into New Hampshire, the state's GOP lost most of its Manchester House seats. Democrats have taken Republican state Senate seats in Laconia and Manchester.

    ReplyDelete
  125. Lost Chocola, Hostettler, Northup lost but several


    Potential pickups for Republicans look close but good for us right now … GA8 and GA12. With 40% of the precincts reporting in GA8 we are behind by 400 votes and in GA12 we are ahead by 1000 votes.


    In FL 16, Mark Foley’s old district, with 49% of precincts reporting GOP is down by 600 votes.


    IN9 with 59% of precincts in and the GOP is down by 2000 votes. FBI is involved in an investigation where an election official has been stuffing absentee ballots for the last two weeks … in favor of the Democrat candidate of course.

    In VA2 with 67% in GOP is up by 3000 votes.

    ReplyDelete
  126. Someone was in the mid-twentys, I do beleive.

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  127. No faith Rufus,
    It'll be close.

    ReplyDelete
  128. Posted by JOHN MCINTYRE | E-Mail This | Permalink | Email RCP
    Kentucky 4 is another one of those Ohio River races it is very close with 54% reporting Davis (R) 48%, Lucas (47%).

    UPDATE: Now with 80% in Davis is ahead 51% - 44%.

    ReplyDelete
  129. NY 24 & NH 2
    both go Dem

    8&9 half way to 18

    ReplyDelete
  130. It'll be close to 18 doug, by the time the last votes are counted and the lawyers are paid.

    ReplyDelete
  131. NY Times didn't even give Hillary credit for spending a bunch of money.
    ...I thought they'd cheer for ramping up the vote.
    Bet they do now.

    ReplyDelete
  132. FOX says the Dems have picked up 10 so far, wonder who I missed.

    ReplyDelete
  133. From a Va. watcher: "Allen is now up by 20k votes and will likely win. He won VA Beach, a large, hotly contested locality, by about 6%. Some NOVA burbs still out, but Allen’s lead should hold."

    ReplyDelete
  134. They are already at 10, doug, give those two Georgia seats to the GOP and it's down to 8. 2 more than 6 already

    Still have half the country to go.

    ReplyDelete
  135. No faith Rufus, It'll be close.

    It's early but the trend is lopsided. We're only seeing pickups for the Donk side in the House and Senate with no GOP pickups to balance them. You can't win a war by holding. And even if they hang on to the Senate, Bush won't be able to get a Roberts or Alito through anytime over the next two years.

    ReplyDelete
  136. Well we are at three of the four that I predicted for the Senate, doug.

    Montana and Missouri, the Dems will pickup one of 'em.

    ReplyDelete
  137. TKS
    OH-18 goes blue, Sherwood gone in PA 10 (expected. Key lesson: Don't choke your mistress). That House margin is closing fast.

    ReplyDelete
  138. Did you guys call Shays yet?

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  139. Talent 70k ahead.

    Move Over, Daniel Webster [Ramesh Ponnuru]

    If I heard him right, John Kerry just called Ted Kennedy the greatest senator in American history.

    The Stakes for John Ashcroft [Ramesh Ponnuru]

    If Mahoney loses to "Foley," then it won't look so bad for Ashcroft to have lost to a dead guy.

    ReplyDelete
  140. Barone telling Fox to shut up, since they are playing the typical INACCURATE MSM exit poll trick.

    ReplyDelete
  141. I Got Menendez Wrong... [John Podhoretz]
    ...but I got Lieberman right.
    ---
    Podhoretz is a dim witted LOSER!

    ReplyDelete
  142. THey quit using the exit polls at FOX about an hour ago, doug.
    Barone is using other tricks of the trade.
    The exit polls were giving the Dems about 6% above the real count.
    When they figured that out, they quit using the exit polls

    ReplyDelete
  143. Mehlman rumored to go to the G team.
    (ONE G)

    ReplyDelete
  144. Barone was talking about calling races that are still too close.
    ...like the last 3 elections at least.
    ALL Democrap "errors"

    ReplyDelete
  145. Some of the Democrat winners are more conservative than the so-called Republicans. Ironically, this might move the war in Iraq forward. Of those displeased with the President's handling of Iraq, only about 1/3 are against the war, per se.

    McCain has begun his 2008 campaign, with Chris Wallace.

    ReplyDelete
  146. Weldon's out.
    ...as expected.

    ReplyDelete
  147. JD Hayworth up by 300 votes!
    Update
    Down by 6,000

    ReplyDelete
  148. Steele is now leading Ben Cardin by a few hundred votes with 34% reporting.

    ReplyDelete
  149. FOX just went to Dems +11, but have not said who or where that next seat was.
    Perhaps it's Weldon

    ReplyDelete
  150. Mr Graf loses in AZ
    and another PA seat is gone and FL 22 as well
    NC 11 goes south, the Dems are up 13.

    ReplyDelete
  151. NY 20 is gone, the GOP losing a gerrymandered seat, according to Fred Barnes
    Dems up 14,

    ReplyDelete
  152. 14 - Foley and another FL going down.

    ReplyDelete
  153. Steele up 20%
    But underperforming in black areas.

    ReplyDelete
  154. Posted by JOHN MCINTYRE | E-Mail This | Permalink | Email RCP
    GA-12: 75% in: Barrow (D) 50%, Burns 50% (R) and GA-8: 67% in: Marshall (D) 51%, Collins 49% (R)

    ReplyDelete
  155. bobal:
    Until their own courts overrule!

    ReplyDelete
  156. TX 22 drops, that is 15 for the Dems.

    Hope there are just three more and then the bleeding stops.

    ReplyDelete
  157. Bobalharb, I-933 is going down to defeat in Washington, it would have required the state to reimburse property owners for environmental regulations that lower their property value, which is a "virtual taking" and so this state is bucking the eminent domain strengthening trend you cite.

    ReplyDelete
  158. Some things never change:
    ---
    IN9 with 59% of precincts in and the GOP is down by 2000 votes. FBI is involved in an investigation where an election official has been stuffing absentee ballots for the last two weeks … in favor of the Democrat candidate of course.

    ReplyDelete
  159. The State of Washington is no longer part of the USA.
    Like Calif.

    ReplyDelete
  160. JD is hurtin' maybe they've just counted in Tempe and not north Scottsdale. That is the hope for him to hold on

    ReplyDelete
  161. Will Pelosi become Speaker?

    Will Hastert and Boehner remain in leadership roles?

    ReplyDelete
  162. Good News:
    ---
    MCRI UPDATE [Stanley Kurtz]

    Now with about one third of precincts reporting, MCRI's lead has
    narrowed somewhat. It's ahead by 58 percent to 42 percent. Tighter,
    but still looking pretty good.

    ReplyDelete
  163. Jack Murtha will challenge Pelosi for the gavel. Murtha makes Kerry look like Admiral Zumwalt when it comes to supporting the troops.

    ReplyDelete
  164. Talent's lead is thin and St. Louis and Kansas City are not yet in.

    ReplyDelete
  165. If the Republicans can hold together and bring some conservative Dems to their side, the Speaker's seat is negotiable.

    ReplyDelete
  166. JOHN MCINTYRE is calling at least 20.
    Maybe more.

    ReplyDelete
  167. Rufus,
    If he's a pro, he'll say take aspirin and stay home.
    (not on an empty stomach)

    ReplyDelete
  168. 'Rat,
    McConnell already conceded power-sharing if it's only one.
    What's Allen smokin?

    ReplyDelete
  169. JOHN MCINTYRE Thinks JD is going down.

    ReplyDelete