tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post7945185624934740282..comments2024-03-28T21:41:52.558-04:00Comments on The Elephant Bar: He is not my Prophet: “The future must not belong to those who slander the prophet of Islam.”- Barrack Hussein ObamaDeuce ☂http://www.blogger.com/profile/13472858446242700869noreply@blogger.comBlogger39125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-20171922101933896452012-09-28T11:13:19.299-04:002012-09-28T11:13:19.299-04:00If you believe you're part of "God's ...<i>If you believe you're part of "God's People," you can't place much value on the "Others."</i><br /><br />That's the way I viewed Israel too. <br />Until I realized that to be choosen is to be cursed with an expectation of G_D to suffer for Him.<br />And look how the Nation has suffered & continue to "take the heat", so to speak.Dougmanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08468871451814828157noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-69467620611655165622012-09-27T01:43:05.731-04:002012-09-27T01:43:05.731-04:00Obama +4.0
- RCPObama +4.0<br /><br />- RCPsamhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11856051164644278989noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-24195252018664896732012-09-27T01:41:36.232-04:002012-09-27T01:41:36.232-04:00Prosecutors in Italy have called for a group of sc...<i>Prosecutors in Italy have called for a group of scientists to be sent to prison for four years each for allegedly failing to give adequate warning of the L'Aquila earthquake in 2009 that killed 309 people and injured hundreds more.<br /><br />The trial of the seven experts has proved immensely controversial, with the international scientific community saying that earthquakes cannot be predicted and that the experts are being made scapegoats for an unforeseen natural disaster.</i>samhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11856051164644278989noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-66112903900903350972012-09-27T00:40:48.915-04:002012-09-27T00:40:48.915-04:00191 bubba
That's what Romney gets if the elec...<i>191</i> bubba<br /><br />That's what Romney gets if the election is held today. And, that's probably about what he'll get Nov. 6th <br /><br />(that is if he doesn't dick around and lose Arizona, and Missouri. Wouldn't That be a kick in the nuts?)<br /><br />sleep tight.Rufus IIhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05297231055991566183noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-53137277978766511862012-09-27T00:34:57.473-04:002012-09-27T00:34:57.473-04:00Sure you don't. Obama is a "Coon," ...Sure you don't. Obama is a "Coon," so those "fine religious folk" think that "someone should take him <i>Coon</i> Hunting.<br /><br /><i>FIIiiiine</i> religious folk.Rufus IIhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05297231055991566183noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-61788178368046883162012-09-27T00:30:52.323-04:002012-09-27T00:30:52.323-04:00In "Likely" voters the Wash Post Florida...In "Likely" voters the Wash Post Florida poll favored Dems by 33 Dems, 32 Pubs, and 31 Ind.<br /><br />You need to find a new guru, Bob. The bubbleplumb guy ain't gittin it.<br /><br /><br />I mean, really, did you think some party was magically going to win a national election by running against the poor, the women, hispanics, gays, AND the Elderly?<br /><br />And, by promising the middle class a tax increase to pay for a tax cut for the rich?<br /><br />Is that what you thought? Is that what the fine nutjobs at American Thinker told you? And, you bought it?Rufus IIhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05297231055991566183noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-81109996695553219032012-09-27T00:04:11.655-04:002012-09-27T00:04:11.655-04:00The Bloomberg poll was 37/33 D/R.The Bloomberg poll was 37/33 D/R.Rufus IIhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05297231055991566183noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-62241244067950815222012-09-27T00:04:03.532-04:002012-09-27T00:04:03.532-04:00.
Obama is also making progress with elderly vote....<br /><br />Obama is also making progress with elderly voters.<br /><br />Madonna has comes out supporting him.<br /><br />.Quirkhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00272168240606512672noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-28555742052805206872012-09-27T00:00:08.425-04:002012-09-27T00:00:08.425-04:00If you believe you're part of "God's ...If you believe you're part of "God's People," you can't place much value on the "Others." Monotheistic Religion is just a form (a very dangerous, and destructive form) of mass hysteria.Rufus IIhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05297231055991566183noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-81736288759069774622012-09-26T23:56:34.317-04:002012-09-26T23:56:34.317-04:00bedtime.bedtime.Rufus IIhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05297231055991566183noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-87770434269375771702012-09-26T23:54:54.432-04:002012-09-26T23:54:54.432-04:00The NBC/WSJ Poll is 42/37 D/R
The Fox News Poll ...The NBC/WSJ Poll is 42/37 D/R<br /><br />The Fox News Poll is 42/36 D/R<br /><br />You think Fox is skewing their poll for Obama?<br /><br />As for Rasmussen, he always skews Right until a week or so from the election. He's a Republican pollster (and, he doesn't call cellphones.) One assumes he adjusts for that in the last week.<br /><br />The British bookmakers are offering 4 to 1, and Intrade is at 25 - 75. Give it up, bubba, the loons are crashing and burning.Rufus IIhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05297231055991566183noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-75531195570952013802012-09-26T23:46:44.570-04:002012-09-26T23:46:44.570-04:00Police fired stun grenades and tear gas at protest...<i>Police fired stun grenades and tear gas at protesters yesterday as tens of thousands poured into the streets of Athens as part of a nationwide strike to challenge a new round of austerity measures that are expected to cut wages, pensions and healthcare once again.<br /><br />...<br /><br />Concern about the Spanish economy drove a sharp rise in the interest rates that investors charge to lend money to Madrid yesterday, increasing fears that eurozone crisis was worsening.<br /><br />...<br /><br />The high rates come in a crucial week for the Spanish economy, with the government due to unveil its draft budget for 2013 today, and an audit of Spain's banks expected to reveal how much money will be needed to prop up the country's ailing lenders on Friday.</i>samhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11856051164644278989noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-66656572200090559172012-09-26T23:36:31.652-04:002012-09-26T23:36:31.652-04:00This election is pretty much over; the crazies los...This election is pretty much over; the crazies lost.Rufus IIhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05297231055991566183noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-34780146689047291372012-09-26T23:32:14.773-04:002012-09-26T23:32:14.773-04:00If you must watch polls, watch Rasmussen -
eptemb...If you must watch polls, watch Rasmussen -<br /><br /><i>eptember 26, 2012<br />Polls, if you must<br />Jared E. Peterson<br /><br />Jay Cost today in The Weekly Standard should provide more than a little encouragement to conservatives who've prematurely taken to drink because of Romney's current alleged poll deficits. Cost's central point - and he is among the most prescient of poll observers -- is that most major polling organizations are oversampling Democrats, based on an assumption that the 2012 electorate will demographically match 2008's, when blacks, Hispanics and under thirty's constituted record percentages.<br /><br />In discussing Ohio, for example, Cost points out that if this year's electoral demographics turn out to be a compromise between those of 2008 and 2004 -- a reasonable assumption, he thinks -- then this year's Ohio electorate would contain only a one to two point Democrat edge, which in turn would produce a razor thin outcome that would be determined by independents. But in its current poll of Ohio showing an alleged eight point Obama lead (52-44), the Washington Post sample is based on a seven point Democratic voter turnout advantage.<br /><br />Whatever one thinks of the polls in general, it is a fact that in 2008, Rasmussen's call at the end was the most accurate. Today Rasmussen's polling organization has it 46-46 (actually, 48 Romney/46 Obama, with leaners), and the following are Rasmussen's most recently published numbers for six battleground states:<br /><br />Ohio: Obama +1 (at 47%)<br /><br />Florida: Obama + 1 (at 48%)<br /><br />Virginia: Obama + 1 (at 49%)<br /><br />Colorado: Romney +2 (Obama trailing at 45%)<br /><br />Iowa: Romney + 3 (Obama trailing at 44%)<br /><br />New Hampshire: Romney + 3 (Obama trailing at 45%)<br /><br />For conservatives these are far from wrist-slitting numbers, and they come from the polling organization that has proven itself least partisan, most methodologically sensible and, in general, most reliable. More encouraging than the razor-thin deficits in Ohio, Florida and Virginia, and the slightly better Romney leads in Colorado, Iowa and New Hampshire, is Obama's absolute percentage in every Rasmussen poll: below the 50% threshold that an incumbent needs to reach to feel any measure of security given that the undecided or undeclared vote almost always breaks against a presidential incumbent.<br /><br />If you have to watch polls, watch Rasmussen. Better still, stay engaged, stay positive and -- especially if you live in battleground state or have friends or family who do -- keep trying to influence those who can be reached.</i><br /><br />Read more: http://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2012/09/polls_if_you_must.html#ixzz27dZoJwha<br />Bobhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04145155737835511824noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-81109615488722166192012-09-26T23:31:23.706-04:002012-09-26T23:31:23.706-04:00The thing you're missing, dumbo, is that, larg...The thing you're missing, dumbo, is that, largely as a result of the expanding Latino population, the proportion of non "white male" voters IS increasing every cycle.Rufus IIhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05297231055991566183noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-33389238647630135302012-09-26T23:28:24.207-04:002012-09-26T23:28:24.207-04:00Dean Chambers, founder of unskewedpolls.com, is ex...<i>Dean Chambers, founder of unskewedpolls.com, is expanding his empire after receiving calls of encouragement from Republicans this week.<br /><br />Since his website caught fire this week for ‘unskewing’ presidential polls — Chambers re-weights national polling data on the assumption that more Republicans will vote than poll results show — the blogger has purchased two additional domain names: unskewedpolitics.com and unskewedmedia.com.<br /><br />The websites will “essentially unskew the bias present in political events and media coverage of political events,” Chambers told BuzzFeed. “And not only will I continue with the [polling] project, I’ll be growing it too,” he said.<br /><br />***<br /><br />The latest New York Times/CBS/Quinnipiac Poll shows Barack Obama trouncing Mitt Romney by 9 percentage points – 53 percent to 44. But is there a single objective political professional in Florida who actually believes Obama is leading by 9 points? In Florida?! Maybe I’ll eat my words on Nov. 6, but I loudly echo Florida GOP Chairman Lenny Curry’s sentiments on Twitter earlier today: “If you believe this mornings Fl Q poll I have swamp land to sell you. Come on man! This is Florida.”<br /><br />So this brings us back to a complaint we’ve heard constantly from Florida political consultants on both sides of the aisle: Too many polls are based on an assumed electorate that has zero chance of occuring and therefore give a flawed view of the political landscape.<br /><br />***<br /><br />[HUGH HEWITT]: Michael, the reason I called is the latest round of Quinnipiac polls for the New York Times shows Barack Obama with big leads in Pennsylvania, Ohio and Florida. But it also shows a sample of plus nine Democrats in a turnout model for Ohio and Florida, and plus eleven Democrats in Pennsylvania. How do you assess the predictive validity of these polls?<br /><br />[MICHAEL BARONE]: Well, I think, you know, I think there’s some serious questions about them. You know, we have to put this in context, Hugh. There’s some real problems with public opinion polling as an instrument. First of all, it’s inherently inexact. You know, random selection theory tells you that there’s an error margin, and that one out of twenty polls is outside that error margin. So let’s always keep that in mind. Second, there are low response rates now, which are a real problem. The PewResearchCenter reports that only 9% of the people that it calls are responding to polls. That’s way down from historic levels, and it raises the question are those people representative of the population as a whole that they’re trying to sample? You know, one thing that polls can’t tell you is the characteristics of people who won’t be polled. So that raises some serious questions. Are we getting skewed samples? We know from the exit poll phenomenon over the last many cycles that the exit poll results tend to come in more Democratic than the actual vote does, and measured at the same precincts. So there’s a question there. And third, we have an increasing population of cell phone only individuals, or households, who are probably tend to be younger, and probably in this election more Democratic than the population as a whole. Pollsters cannot use robocalls to call these people. They have to make expensive calls to cell phone exchanges, hand dialed, and this poses a real problem for public opinion pollsters. It’s more expensive. How many cell phone only people do you call? If those, if that population is, as the pollsters believe, significantly more Democratic, the decision on how many you call is going to affect the outcome of your poll. So and the fact is that we don’t know, because we’ve had an increase in the cell phone only population, what percentage of the voters they will turn out to be.</i><br /><br />Hot AirBobhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04145155737835511824noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-63663689153957394072012-09-26T23:23:57.239-04:002012-09-26T23:23:57.239-04:00If you're going to believe the polls released ...<i>If you're going to believe the polls released from CBS/New York Times this morning -- you know, the polls the media's currently using to beat Romney senseless and to depress Republican enthusiasm, you have to believe that the turnout advantage for Democrats over Republicans will blow away every previous record and common sense. <br /><br />It's that simple. Because these polls are not only telling us that Romney is losing OH, PA, and FL by insurmountable margins; these polls are also telling us that Democrat turnout is projected to blow away every modern record. <br /><br />But these media polls don't headline what they're seeing as far as the Democrat turnout advantage because no one would believe it. In fact, no one believes Obama will match the D+7 nationwide advantage he enjoyed in 2008. And no one certainly believes he will surpass it. <br /><br />Oh, except this non-stop litany of media polls being wielded like weapons by the corrupt media. <br /><br />Here are the CBS/New York Times internals. And here's the con the CBS/NYTs is attempting to pull: <br /><br />Florida: <br /><br />In 2004 the vote was R+4. <br /><br />In 2008 the vote was D+3 <br /><br />CBS/NYTs is reporting that in 2012 we will see D+9.<br /><br /> <br /><br />Ohio: <br /><br />In 2004 the vote was R+5 <br /><br />In 2008 the vote was D+8 <br /><br />CBS/NYTs is reporting that in 2012 we will see D+9<br /><br /> <br /><br />Pennsylvania: <br /><br />In 2010 the vote was D+3 <br /><br />In 2008 the vote was D+7 <br /><br />CBS/NYTs is reporting that in 2012 we will see D+9.<br /><br />- <br /><br />Again, why won't the media report the dramatic news that Democrats are expected to turnout in record numbers against Republicans? <br /><br />Because the media doesn't believe it.<br /><br />And yet, that's exactly what media polls claim will happen. </i><br /><br />Follow John Nolte on Twitter @NolteNC<br /><br /><br /><br />I admit to a little unease over all this however. I just can't imagine how the country could be so senseless as to re-elect this so obvious fraud and incompetent again.<br /><br />Then, I think of Quirk.......<br /><br />........and wonder.....Bobhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04145155737835511824noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-81785308894399734002012-09-26T23:15:56.115-04:002012-09-26T23:15:56.115-04:00Some of what you say there is true, but -
The Cru...Some of what you say there is true, but -<br /><br /><i>The Crusades were a series of religious expeditionary wars blessed by Pope Urban II and the Catholic Church, with the stated goal of restoring Christian access to the holy places in and near Jerusalem. Jerusalem was and is a sacred city and symbol of all three major Abrahamic faiths (Judaism, Christianity and Islam).[1] The background to the Crusades was set when the Seljuk Turks decisively defeated the Byzantine army in 1071 and cut off Christian access to Jerusalem. The Byzantine emperor, Alexis I feared that all Asia Minor would be overrun. He called on western Christian leaders and the papacy to come to the aid of Constantinople by undertaking a pilgrimage or a crusade that would free Jerusalem from Muslim rule.[2] Another cause was the destruction of many Christian sacred sites and the persecution of Christians under the Fatimid caliph Al-Hakim.</i> -<br /><br /><br /><br />http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crusades -<br /><br />the crusades were mostly against the muzzies, attacking the Jews along the way was secondary.<br /><br /><br />They were defensive in nature many have argued.<br /><br />Quoting Hitler on 'faith' is a laugh.<br /><br />It is true that, in the words of W.H. Auden, <i>the words of a dead man are modified in the guts of the living.</i><br /><br />Jesus could hardly have been anti-Jewish.<br /><br />There was a big to do between the first Christians and the synagogues. They were I think for the most part expelled. Parts of the New Testament are truly tragic in the trouble they have caused, and surely don't reflect Jesus. How could they?<br /><br />What has any of this to do with HATING ALL religions? and claiming they are all of bad influence in the world?<br /><br />Again, the atheists in our time made up all the mileage and much much more.<br /><br />And, it was the Judeo/Christian influences that finally freed a lot of the world of slavery.<br /><br />Bobhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04145155737835511824noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-19102016187515911482012-09-26T21:46:39.981-04:002012-09-26T21:46:39.981-04:00The issue has also sparked attempts at humor on Ch...<i>The issue has also sparked attempts at humor on China's Internet.<br /><br />One popular joke—tweaking the well-known taste of China's officials for luxurious foreign brands and sometime confusion over what is a Japanese brand as opposed to a different import—has one government functionary protectively asking his assistant whether anything he owns is Japanese. No, the assistant replies: His watch is Swiss, his clothing Italian, his car German and his mistresses Chinese.<br /><br />"In that case, let's unite the people and boycott Japanese goods!" he says.</i>samhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11856051164644278989noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-22675942575239577772012-09-26T20:48:26.289-04:002012-09-26T20:48:26.289-04:00RCP puts Ohio in the Leans Obama catagory
RCP mis...RCP puts <a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html" rel="nofollow">Ohio in the Leans Obama catagory</a><br /><br />RCP missed the '08 election by 0.1%.Rufus IIhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05297231055991566183noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-74207153391876821082012-09-26T20:40:27.631-04:002012-09-26T20:40:27.631-04:00In Mein Kampf, in fact, Hitler professed that &quo...In Mein Kampf, in fact, Hitler professed that "faith is often the sole foundation of a moral attitude," and that other moral systems "have not proved so successful from the standpoint of results that they could be regarded as a useful replacement for previous religious creeds." In his Reichstag speech of 1938, Hitler boasted, "I believe today that I am acting in the sense of the Almighty Creator. By warding off the Jews I am fighting for the Lord's work." Martin Luther, in fact was one of Hitler's dearest heroes.<br /><br />Nor should we ignore the religious predilections of other prominent Nazis. For example, Alfred Rosenberg, German race theorist and Reich Minister for the Eastern Occupied Territories, employed biblical passages liberally in 1930 in order to support his opinions in The Myth of the Twentieth Century: An Assessment of the Psychical-Spiritual Struggle of our Time. In fact, Rosenberg's goal was to purify Christianity, fusing New Testament and Germanic mythology, dubbing the result, "positive Christianity."<br /><br />It was Christian scripture, of course, that initiated a long and consistent history of discrimination against the Jews. Religious and secular experts agree that such Biblical sentiments profoundly influenced not only the Crusades, but both Hitler and his Nazi cohorts as well.<br /><br />According to Alfred J. Eppens, Adjunct Professor of History and director of the Michigan Center for Early Christian Studies, the "doctrinal roots in support of [the eleventh century Crusades] existed in the earliest Christian writings." The professor refers to letters attributed to Paul, including those represented in Galatians 3:10-11, 6:15; Romans 3:20, 9:31, and 11:28, all of which have been interpreted to support anti-Judaic views.<br /><br />The Crusades, argues Eppens, "set in motion the 'first holocaust' of European Jews." Closely following the Council of Clermont on November 25, 1095, Jews were reportedly attacked in Rouen, France. As the Christian Crusaders departed in 1096, Count Emich of Leiningen mercilessly assailed Jews in Speyer. One Jewish . . . . .<br /><br /> <br />Rufus IIhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05297231055991566183noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-12260068134832963442012-09-26T20:39:50.978-04:002012-09-26T20:39:50.978-04:00He could have been born in Antarctica for all that...He could have been born in Antarctica for all that matters. His mother was an American citizen, so he is an American citizen. Case closed.Teresitahttp://www.cleanposts.com/index.php/Main_Pagenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-12220865903529609372012-09-26T20:30:37.055-04:002012-09-26T20:30:37.055-04:00$2,500.00 on Intrade, today, will get you $10,000....$2,500.00 on Intrade, today, will get you $10,000.00 Nov. 7th.<br /><br />Go for it. Rufus IIhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05297231055991566183noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-19449974348697587022012-09-26T20:23:35.403-04:002012-09-26T20:23:35.403-04:00But first -
Romney Pulls Ahead
By Dick Morris on ...But first -<br /><br /><i>Romney Pulls Ahead<br />By Dick Morris on September 25, 2012<br /><br />The published polling in this year’s presidential race is unusually inaccurate because this is the first election in which who votes determines how they vote. Obama’s massive leads among blacks, Latinos, young people, and single women vie with Romney’s margin among the elderly, married white women, and white men. Tell me your demographic and I’ll tell you who you’re voting for and I’ll be right at least two times out of three!<br /><br />Most pollsters are weighting their data on the assumption that the 2012 electorate will turn out in the same proportion as the 2008 voters did. But polling indicates a distinct lack of enthusiasm for the president among his core constituency. He’ll still carry them by heavy margins, but the turnout will likely lag behind the 2008 stats. (The 2008 turnout was totally unlike that in other years with all-time historic high turnouts among Obama’s main demographic groups).<br /><br />Specifically, most pollsters are using 2008 party preferences to weight their 2012 survey samples, reflecting a much larger Democratic preference than is now really the case.<br /><br />In my own polling, I found a lurch to the Democrats right after their convention, but subsequent research indicates that it has since petered out. Indeed, when one compares party identification in the August and September polls of this year in swing states, the Democratic Party identification is flat while the ranks of Republicans rose by an average of two points per state.<br /><br />Pollster Scott Rasmussen has the best solution to the party id problem. He weights his polls to reflect the unweighted party identification of the previous three weeks, so he has a dynamic model which adjusts for sampling error but still takes account of gradual changes in the electorate’s partisan preferences.<br /><br />Finally, with Obama below 50% of the vote in most swing states, he is hitting up against a glass ceiling in the high 40s. He can’t get past it except in heavily Democratic states like New York or California. The first time Obama breaks 50 will not be on Election Day. Either he consistently polls above 50% of the vote or he won’t ever get there in the actual vote.<br /><br />So here’s where the race really stands today based on Rasmussen’s polling:<br /><br />• Romney leads decisively in all states McCain carried (173 electoral votes).<br /><br />• Romney is more than ten points ahead in Indiana – which Obama carried. (11 electoral votes)<br /><br />• Romney leads Obama in the following states the president carried in 2008: Iowa (44-47) North Carolina (45-51), Colorado (45-47), and New Hampshire (45-48). He’ll probably win them all. (34 electoral votes).<br /><br />This comes to 218 of the 270 Romney needs. But…<br /><br />• Obama is below 50% of the vote in a handful of key swing states and leads Romney by razor thin margins in each one. All these states will go for Romney unless and until Obama can show polling support of 50% of the vote:<br /><br />• Obama leads in Ohio (47-46) and Virginia (49-48) by only 1 point (31 electoral votes)<br /><br />• Obama leads in Florida (48-460) and Nevada (47-45) by only 2 points (35 electoral votes)<br /><br />If Romney carries Ohio, Virginia, and Florida, he wins. And other states are in play.<br /><br />• Obama leads in Wisconsin (49-46) by only 3 points (10 electoral votes)<br /><br />• Obama’s lead in Michigan is down to four points according to a recent statewide poll<br /><br />• Obama is only getting 51% of the vote in Pennsylvania and 53% in New Jersey. And don’t count out New Mexico.<br /><br />It would be accurate to describe the race now as tied. But Romney has the edge because:<br /><br />• The incumbent is under 50% in key states and nationally. He will probably lose any state where he is below 50% of the vote.<br /><br />• The Republican enthusiasm and likelihood of voting is higher<br /><br />• The GOP field organization is better.<br /><br />That’s the real state of play today.</i>Bobhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04145155737835511824noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-79535031166535728342012-09-26T20:19:43.447-04:002012-09-26T20:19:43.447-04:00I can't understand what is illogical about thi...I can't understand what is illogical about this:<br /><br />We know both Obama and Michele stated in various way and various forums earlier in his Illinois political life that he was born in Kenya.<br /><br />Now, they say he was born in Hawaii.<br /><br />They must be liars. Either earlier, or now. Because, it doesn't seem possible for the same man to have been born in both places.<br /><br />And, therefore, it is just as reasonable to suppose he was born in Kenya, as in Hawaii.<br /><br />Help me out, Quirk.<br /><br />g'niteBobhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04145155737835511824noreply@blogger.com