tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post6640068746603915505..comments2024-03-18T16:10:41.673-04:00Comments on The Elephant Bar: Paul Ryan, another GOP empty suit, equivocatesDeuce ☂http://www.blogger.com/profile/13472858446242700869noreply@blogger.comBlogger27125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-20867022534002772912016-05-13T22:34:11.077-04:002016-05-13T22:34:11.077-04:00and rattle your walls
:)<i>and rattle your walls</i><br /><br />:)galopn2https://www.blogger.com/profile/10149969176825932175noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-28464332397951638402016-05-13T21:22:20.290-04:002016-05-13T21:22:20.290-04:00The Times They Are A-Changin'
Bob Dylan
Come ...<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QqvUz0HrNKY" rel="nofollow">The Times They Are A-Changin'</a><br />Bob Dylan<br /><br />Come gather 'round people<br />Wherever you roam<br />And admit that the waters<br />Around you have grown<br />And accept it that soon<br />You'll be drenched to the bone<br />If your time to you<br />Is worth savin'<br />Then you better start swimmin'<br />Or you'll sink like a stone<br />For the times they are a-changin'.<br /><br />Come writers and critics<br />Who prophesize with your pen<br />And keep your eyes wide<br />The chance won't come again<br />And don't speak too soon<br />For the wheel's still in spin<br />And there's no tellin' who<br />That it's namin'<br />For the loser now<br />Will be later to win<br />For the times they are a-changin'.<br /><br />Come senators, congressmen<br />Please heed the call<br />Don't stand in the doorway<br />Don't block up the hall<br />For he that gets hurt<br />Will be he who has stalled<br />There's a battle outside<br />And it is ragin'<br />It'll soon shake your windowsJack Hawkinshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00342056653466462640noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-3110250961994700332016-05-13T20:50:38.913-04:002016-05-13T20:50:38.913-04:00You'll have to forgive me, Q. I only stop in ...You'll have to forgive me, Q. I only stop in a few times a week.MOMEhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18307879234693014691noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-12910887850980756082016-05-13T20:46:38.089-04:002016-05-13T20:46:38.089-04:00Another reason growth has lagged among non-Hispani...Another reason growth has lagged among non-Hispanic white eligible voters is that they’re underrepresented among young people born in the U.S. who turn 18 – the group most responsible for the nation’s growth in eligible voters. Non-Hispanic whites accounted for 57% of the 16 million new eligible voters who turned 18 between 2012 and 2016. By comparison, racial ethnic minorities – who make up 31% of the electorate – accounted for 43% of new eligible voters born in the U.S. who turned 18.<br /><br />Unlike other groups, most growth in the Asian electorate has come from naturalizations – immigrants becoming U.S. citizens. Since 2012, 60% of new Asian eligible voters have gained the right to vote by this means. By comparison, 26% of new Hispanic eligible voters came from naturalizations during this time.<br /><br />While the U.S. electorate is growing more diverse, there’s a . . . . . .<br /><br /><a href="http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2016/02/03/2016-electorate-will-be-the-most-diverse-in-u-s-history/" rel="nofollow">Fact-Tank</a>galopn2https://www.blogger.com/profile/10149969176825932175noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-75743239069611713532016-05-13T20:44:11.548-04:002016-05-13T20:44:11.548-04:00But, here's where the rubber meets the road:
...But, here's where the rubber meets the road:<br /><br /><b>2016 electorate will be the most diverse in U.S. history</b><br /><br />BY JENS MANUEL KROGSTAD<br /><br />The U.S. electorate this year will be the country’s most racially and ethnically diverse ever. Nearly one-in-three eligible voters on Election Day (31%) will be Hispanic, black, Asian or another racial or ethnic minority, up from 29% in 2012. Much of this change is due to strong growth among Hispanic eligible voters, in particular U.S.-born youth.<br /><br />An analysis of changes in the nation’s eligible voting population – U.S. citizens ages 18 and older – offers a preview of profound U.S. demographic shifts that are projected to continue for decades to come. While the nation’s 156 million non-Hispanic white eligible voters in 2016 far outnumber the 70 million eligible voters that are racial or ethnic minorities, their growth lags that of minority groups. As a result, the non-Hispanic white share of the electorate has fallen from 71% in 2012 to 69%.<br /><br /><b>There are 10.7 million more eligible voters today than there were in 2012. More than two-thirds of net growth in the U.S. electorate during this time has come from racial and ethnic minorities. Hispanics, blacks, Asians and other minorities had a net increase of 7.5 million eligible voters, compared with a net increase of 3.2 million among non-Hispanic white eligible voters.</b><br /><br />The growth among non-Hispanic white eligible voters has been slower than among racial or ethnic minorities in large part because they are overrepresented in deaths due to an aging population. Non-Hispanic whites make up 69% of U.S. eligible voters, but accounted for 76% of all eligible voters who died (6.6 million of 8.7 million) between 2012 and 2016.galopn2https://www.blogger.com/profile/10149969176825932175noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-65919122079690637582016-05-13T20:11:39.446-04:002016-05-13T20:11:39.446-04:00Hispanic turnout has also grown, from 44 percent i...Hispanic turnout has also grown, from 44 percent in 1996 to a high of nearly 50 percent in 2008. But it decreased to 48 percent in the 2012 election. In general, turnout among Hispanic and Latino voters tends to lag far behind their share of eligible voters and registered voters. But there are early signs that turnout may rebound and return to its earlier trajectory. Since January, the rate of Hispanic voter registration has doubled in California and increased by large margins in North Carolina and Georgia. While some of this reflects the extent to which the country’s Hispanic population skews young, there’s evidence that it’s a reaction to Trump and his vocal, anti-immigrant rhetoric. If that’s true, we could see a growth in the total number of Hispanic voters and the share of them that go to the polls. And either way, if the turnout rate for Hispanic voters simply holds steady, they’ll have a larger impact than in 2012, given their growth in the electorate.<br /><br />None of this guarantees a Clinton win or means that Trump can’t win Pennsylvania or Ohio or Florida. But it does call Quinnipiac’s assumption of a smaller nonwhite electorate—shared by many other pundits and observers—into question. The trends and the numbers suggest the opposite—that blacks and Hispanics (and Asian Americans) will again constitute a large share of the voting population, that their turnout will stay steady, perhaps even . . . . . . .<br /><br /><a href="http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/politics/2016/05/black_and_latino_voters_aren_t_going_anywhere.html" rel="nofollow">Slate</a>galopn2https://www.blogger.com/profile/10149969176825932175noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-37313479938010862342016-05-13T20:09:22.817-04:002016-05-13T20:09:22.817-04:00This is possible in the same way that there’s a no...This is possible in the same way that there’s a nonzero chance a safe will fall on your head at this very moment. But that doesn’t mean it’s likely. And when you look at the evidence, the idea that nonwhites will leave the electorate—especially in this Age of Trump—is ludicrous.<br /><br />The standard narrative for nonwhite voting in a presidential year is this: Before Barack Obama, blacks and Latinos turned out to vote in modest and static numbers. After Obama’s 2008 campaign, they began to vote in droves, transforming the American electorate. Now, with Obama and his historic candidacy off of the ballot, they’ll return to the sidelines.<br /><br />Every part of this narrative is wrong. A quick glance at black presidential voting shows a clear upward trend, beginning in 1996, not 2008. That year, black turnout hit a low of 53 percent. Four years later, it grew to 56.8 percent. It grew again to 60 percent in 2004, and grew slightly more than the 3.5-point average to 64.7 percent in 2008, and reached 66.2 percent in 2012, surpassing white turnout for the first time in American history.<br /><br />Growing black turnout preceded Barack Obama’s campaign by more than a decade. It increased on his watch, but it wasn’t a dramatic change. And more importantly, that increase wasn’t because of Obama as a figure or a symbol. It was hard work. “[D]oor-to-door, mail, phone, and Internet activities of the political parties may have been more of a factor in mobilizing Blacks than an amorphous, media-driven buzz surrounding Obama’s charismatic and historic candidacy,” write Tasha Philpot, Daron Shaw, and Ernest McGowen in a paper titled “Winning the Race: Black Voter Turnout in the 2008 Presidential Election.” This is still operative. Hillary Clinton’s primary campaign devoted substantial resources to reaching and mobilizing black communities, to great effect—in the Super Tuesday states, black voters reached or exceeded their vote share relative to the last Democratic primary, in 2008.galopn2https://www.blogger.com/profile/10149969176825932175noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-75363946524585021302016-05-13T20:07:06.778-04:002016-05-13T20:07:06.778-04:00The Myth of the Disappearing Nonwhite Voter
Black...<b>The Myth of the Disappearing Nonwhite Voter</b><br /><br />Blacks and Latinos aren’t sitting out an Obama-less 2016—especially not with Trump on the ballot.<br /><br />By Jamelle Bouie<br /><br />The first “swing state” surveys of 2016 are here, and the news isn’t good for Hillary Clinton. According to a new Quinnipiac poll, the likely Democratic nominee is just a nose ahead of Donald Trump in Florida and Pennsylvania, where she leads 43 percent to Trump’s 42. In Ohio, she’s behind, 39 percent to Trump’s 43.<br /><br />It’s a result in line with the theory of Trump’s campaign—that he can break into the Rust Belt and expand the Republican Party’s coalition to states that traditionally break for the Democratic nominee, in addition to occasional GOP strongholds like Florida.<br /><br />But there’s a problem. When the pollsters at Quinnipiac took their snapshot of the presidential race, they didn’t assume a static electorate from 2012, where nonwhites were 30 percent of voters in Florida, 18 percent in Ohio, and 19 percent in Pennsylvania. Instead, in Quinnipiac’s view, a significant number of nonwhites have left the voting pool, leaving those states with whiter electorates than they had four years prior.<br /><br />By Quinnipiac’s lights, today’s electorates in Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania <b>are between 4 to 5 points whiter than they were in 2012.</b> If national elections are determined by national swings—where most voters move in tandem, one way or another—then this implies something like a three-point swing among all groups toward the GOP, which would give Trump a narrow win in all three states, and the national popular vote. (I used RealClearPolitics’ demographic calculator for that result.)galopn2https://www.blogger.com/profile/10149969176825932175noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-88894095565161266232016-05-13T19:45:18.976-04:002016-05-13T19:45:18.976-04:00.
Does pointing out Trumps says things that are o....<br /><br />Does pointing out Trumps says things that are often cuckoo and disgusting imply I would vote for Hillary?<br /><br />I said here at least a dozen times there is no way I would vote for Hillary.<br /><br />But get real.<br /><br />Much of what Trump says makes him look like a walking cartoon.<br /><br />.Quirkhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00272168240606512672noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-42627476805207233942016-05-13T18:53:21.454-04:002016-05-13T18:53:21.454-04:00Go ahead and vote for HRC and kick the can down th...Go ahead and vote for HRC and kick the can down the road.MOMEhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18307879234693014691noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-857722754771979452016-05-13T18:12:03.703-04:002016-05-13T18:12:03.703-04:00.
And how would we assure no Muslims get in until....<br /><br />And how would we assure no Muslims get in until 'we figure it out'?<br /><br />Trump: We will just ask them if they are Muslim at customs.<br /><br /><br />Looney Toons.<br /><br />.Quirkhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00272168240606512672noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-38788301466188918082016-05-13T18:07:22.183-04:002016-05-13T18:07:22.183-04:00"a pause on illegal immigration"
A litt..."a pause on illegal immigration"<br /><br />A little projection going on there Mome.Ashhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16688752302081088907noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-30961811517502097462016-05-13T18:04:52.548-04:002016-05-13T18:04:52.548-04:00.
Drinking pinky finger out at the local biker ba....<br /><br /><a href="http://www.123rf.com/search.php?word=pinky+finger&start=100&searchopts=&itemsperpage=100&sti=lu6i1eb0u375s1uc7h%7C&mediapopup=28816897" rel="nofollow">Drinking pinky finger out at the local biker bar</a><br /><br />.<br />Quirkhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00272168240606512672noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-28202946291165648482016-05-13T17:43:13.460-04:002016-05-13T17:43:13.460-04:00This comment has been removed by the author.Quirkhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00272168240606512672noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-65821804883607840962016-05-13T17:41:23.095-04:002016-05-13T17:41:23.095-04:00Lessee, self funding...... until he is the nominee...Lessee, self funding...... until he is the nominee. Raise money for election and money will be shared with other Republicans running for office. That is the way it works bubba. Ban on Muslims, no not exactly, the suggestion was to have a pause on all illegal immigration until we have a handle on what's going on, which we have no friggin idea about, bubba. Excellent idea. You and Looney Clooney need to get your facts straight.MOMEhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18307879234693014691noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-53451982945014023182016-05-13T17:22:12.296-04:002016-05-13T17:22:12.296-04:00Vote Nationalism!Vote Nationalism!MOMEhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18307879234693014691noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-19055595315503928142016-05-13T17:09:19.060-04:002016-05-13T17:09:19.060-04:00Rufus confronts the Magic Mirror:
https://www.you...Rufus confronts the Magic Mirror:<br /><br />https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mAFpkKL6c6wDoughttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16770268554450465514noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-17895593058646337472016-05-13T16:48:06.674-04:002016-05-13T16:48:06.674-04:00Man's first words after waking up from 48-day ...Man's first words after waking up from 48-day coma: 'I want Taco Bell'<br /><br />http://www.sfgate.com/news/article/Man-s-first-words-after-waking-up-from-48-day-7467337.phpDoughttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16770268554450465514noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-50905230080812622382016-05-13T16:44:52.534-04:002016-05-13T16:44:52.534-04:00.
Latest government recommendations: Get to the a....<br /><br />Latest government recommendations: Get to the airport 2 - 3 hours before <b>domestic</b> flights.<br /><br />.Quirkhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00272168240606512672noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-52713925907071826192016-05-13T16:26:59.425-04:002016-05-13T16:26:59.425-04:00Lessee, "Self-funding - Out," yeah, we ...Lessee, "Self-funding - Out," yeah, we covered that.<br /><br />Oh, about that "Muslim Ban" - Never mind, it was just a <i><b>"suggestion."</b></i><br /><br />:)galopn2https://www.blogger.com/profile/10149969176825932175noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-70401619971003376412016-05-13T16:21:49.776-04:002016-05-13T16:21:49.776-04:00Man fighting for his life after getting shot in th...<b>Man fighting for his life after getting shot in the Tenderloin</b><br /><br />Definitely a bad place to get shot.<br /><br />http://www.sfgate.com/crime/article/Man-fighting-for-his-life-after-getting-shot-in-7467049.phpDoughttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16770268554450465514noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-51244051663050863312016-05-13T16:20:38.483-04:002016-05-13T16:20:38.483-04:00I had a science teacher who brought big toe to cla...I had a science teacher who brought big toe to class in a bottle of formaldehyde.<br /><br />How did you fuck up your finger?Doughttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16770268554450465514noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-7137471811557511572016-05-13T16:14:24.050-04:002016-05-13T16:14:24.050-04:00.
Quarter mile long line waiting for TSA security....<br /><br />Quarter mile long line waiting for TSA security check at Midway Airport yesterday.<br /><br />Jeh Johnson gives us his solution saying that he is working with the airports to get them to cut the number of carry-ons passengers are allowed.<br /><br />Seriously.<br /><br />.Quirkhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00272168240606512672noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-56159438968652683592016-05-13T12:46:57.021-04:002016-05-13T12:46:57.021-04:00It's because people know that Trump is taking ...It's because people know that Trump is taking over....<br /><br />Obama and Killery are toast.What is "Occupation"https://www.blogger.com/profile/02054075097495500689noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21297199.post-83673848820627971492016-05-13T10:52:53.144-04:002016-05-13T10:52:53.144-04:00Highlights
Consumer sentiment is absolutely soari...<b>Highlights</b><br /><br /><b>Consumer sentiment is absolutely soaring so far this month, up nearly 7 points to 95.8</b> for the mid-month flash. This is the best reading since June last year. <br /><br />Expectations, which have been pulling down the headline index most of this year, jumped nearly 10 points to 87.5. The month-to-month turnaround for this reading is the best of the cycle, since 2006. Current conditions are also moving higher, to 108.6 from 106.7.<br /><br />Readings on inflation expectations are mixed with the 1-year outlook, despite the rise underway in gas prices, falling a very steep 3 tenths to 2.5 percent, offset in part by a 1 tenth uptick to 2.6 percent for the 5-year outlook. <br /><br />Federal Reserve policy makers will not be pleased with the 3 tenth decline in near-term inflation expectations, one however that looks suspiciously like an outlier and will have to be repeated in subsequent reports. Otherwise this report is very strong and, driven by the fundamental strength of the labor market, points to renewed confidence in the economic outlook.<br /><br /><a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/economic-calendar" rel="nofollow">Consumer Sentiment</a>galopn2https://www.blogger.com/profile/10149969176825932175noreply@blogger.com